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Lemonade, Inc.: Q4 FY2025 earnings call

What management said about Q4 FY2025, from the documents filed with the SEC on 19 February 2026: letter to shareholders. Guidance figures: 1 raised. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • In force premium growth accelerated again: IFP reached $1.24 billion, up 31%, the ninth consecutive quarter of IFP growth acceleration. Revenue grew 53% to $228.1 million on higher gross earned premium and ceding commission income. Source
  • Gross profit up 73% on revenue growth: Gross profit was $110.6 million, with gross profit margin at 48% against 43% a year earlier. Management attributed the increase mainly to 53% revenue growth and a 9 point improvement in net loss ratio. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed: Adjusted EBITDA loss was $4.6 million, against $23.8 million a year earlier. Management attributed the improvement to revenue growth and better underwriting, partly offset by higher growth spend. Source
  • Pet became largest product line: Pet IFP was $439 million against $283 million a year earlier. Management said Pet sustained IFP growth in the mid-50s for a second year. Source
  • Europe extended triple-digit IFP growth: Europe IFP was $60 million against $24 million a year earlier, up 150%. Management said growth came through both direct and price comparison channels. Source
  • Operating expense rose on acquisition spend: Total operating expense excluding loss adjustment expense rose 24% to $154.2 million, mainly from higher growth spend for customer acquisition. Source
  • Gross loss ratio improved to 52%: Gross loss ratio was 52% in the quarter against 63% a year earlier. Full-year gross loss ratio was 64% against 73%. Source
  • Grow the business, scale the operation: The 2026 strategy builds on growing the business and scaling the operation, deploying LTV AI across channels, products and geographies and using AI for operating leverage. Source

“By any measure, the fourth quarter of 2025 was our strongest ever.”

Lemonade, Inc., letter to shareholders

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
In force premium growth SourceFY 202632%Raised
In force premium SourceFY 2026$1,625 - $1,630
In force premium SourceQ1 2026$1,321 - $1,326
Gross earned premium SourceFY 2026$1,362 - $1,365
Gross earned premium SourceQ1 2026$299 - $302
Revenue SourceFY 2026$1,187 - $1,192
Revenue SourceQ1 2026$246 - $251
Adjusted EBITDA loss SourceFY 2026($52m)-($48m)
Adjusted EBITDA loss SourceQ1 2026($25) - ($22)
Stock-based compensation expense SourceFY 2026$75
Stock-based compensation expense SourceQ1 2026$19
Weighted average common shares SourceFY 202677
Weighted average common shares SourceQ1 202676

What changed from last quarter

  • Guidance raised: Full-year 2026 IFP growth guidance is 32%, 200 basis points above prior public comments. Source
  • New: Management said three AI-enabled strategic initiatives are being invested in during 2026. Source
  • New: Autonomous pricing for Tesla FSD (Supervised) was described as a recently announced launch. Source
  • Guidance kept: Positive Adjusted EBITDA for the full fourth quarter of 2026 was reiterated. Source

Results and growth drivers

  • In force premium growth accelerated again: IFP reached $1.24 billion, up 31%, the ninth consecutive quarter of IFP growth acceleration. Revenue grew 53% to $228.1 million on higher gross earned premium and ceding commission income. Source
  • Gross profit up 73% on revenue growth: Gross profit was $110.6 million, with gross profit margin at 48% against 43% a year earlier. Management attributed the increase mainly to 53% revenue growth and a 9 point improvement in net loss ratio. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed: Adjusted EBITDA loss was $4.6 million, against $23.8 million a year earlier. Management attributed the improvement to revenue growth and better underwriting, partly offset by higher growth spend. Source
  • Net loss narrowed year on year: Net loss was $21.7 million, or $0.29 per share, against $30.0 million, or $0.42 per share, a year earlier. The full-year 2025 net loss was $165.5 million against $202.2 million. Source

Products and customers

  • Pet became largest product line: Pet IFP was $439 million against $283 million a year earlier. Management said Pet sustained IFP growth in the mid-50s for a second year. Source
  • Pet cost per claim improved to $14: Management said cost per claim improved to $14 in 2025, describing it as industry-leading and as evidence of AI's impact across claims and operations. Source
  • Car conversion gains lifted growth: Car IFP was $187 million against $122 million a year earlier. Management said product changes are now operationalized at scale, with go-to-market and new state launches adding to growth. Source
  • Autonomous miles priced at half rate: Lemonade launched autonomy-aware pricing for Tesla FSD (Supervised), using vehicle telemetry with customer permission. Management expects prices to decline as safety outcomes improve. Source
  • Customers and premium per customer rose: Customers reached 2,984,513 at period end, and premium per customer was $414, up 7% from a year earlier. Source

“The quarter was characterized by growth acceleration, underwriting excellence, and operating leverage, and concluded a year in which momentum continued to build across key business drivers.”

Lemonade, Inc., letter to shareholders

Europe and homeowners

  • Europe extended triple-digit IFP growth: Europe IFP was $60 million against $24 million a year earlier, up 150%. Management said growth came through both direct and price comparison channels. Source
  • Europe loss ratio improved 16 points: Europe's trailing twelve month gross loss ratio was 74%, achieved alongside 150% IFP growth. Management cited a regulatory environment that allows rapid iteration in pricing and underwriting. Source
  • Homeowners book grew with lower losses: Homeowners multi-peril IFP was $530 million against $503 million a year earlier. Its Q4 gross loss ratio was 39%, against 55% in Q4 2024. Source

Costs and operating leverage

  • Operating expense rose on acquisition spend: Total operating expense excluding loss adjustment expense rose 24% to $154.2 million, mainly from higher growth spend for customer acquisition. Source
  • Headcount fell as customers grew: Since Q3 2022 the company added 1.2 million customers while headcount declined by 6%, which management attributes to AI and automation. Source
  • Growth spend rose to $53.4M: Growth spend within sales and marketing was $53.4 million against $36.0 million, and sales and marketing expense totaled $64.2 million. Source
  • Technology and G&A costs increased: Technology development rose to $24.8 million from $21.8 million, and general and administrative expense to $43.1 million from $33.5 million. Source

“Simply put, growth is the gift that keeps on giving.”

Lemonade, Inc., letter to shareholders

Margins, pricing and underwriting

  • Gross loss ratio improved to 52%: Gross loss ratio was 52% in the quarter against 63% a year earlier. Full-year gross loss ratio was 64% against 73%. Source
  • Net loss ratio improved to 53%: Net loss ratio was 53% in the quarter against 62% a year earlier, and 65% for 2025 against 75% for 2024. Source
  • Adjusted gross profit margin rose: Adjusted gross profit margin was 49% against 44%. Adjusted gross profit as a share of gross earned premium was 39% against 29%. Source
  • Prior period development lowered loss ratio: The PPD impact on gross loss ratio was (9%) in Q4 2025 against (5%) a year earlier. CAT losses excluding PPD added 1 point to the quarter's gross loss ratio. Source

Capital and cash

  • Adjusted free cash flow rose: Adjusted free cash flow was $36.7 million in the quarter, and cash flow from operating activities was $20.7 million. Source
  • Full-year operating cash flow negative: Full-year adjusted free cash flow was $48.8 million, against $47.6 million, while net cash used in operating activities was $16.5 million. Source
  • Cash and investments reached $1.12B: Cash, cash equivalents and investments totaled about $1.12 billion at December 31, 2025. Source
  • Borrowings under financing agreement rose: Borrowings under the financing agreement were $158.1 million, up from $83.4 million, with net borrowings adding $74.7 million in 2025. Source

Strategy and investment

  • Grow the business, scale the operation: The 2026 strategy builds on growing the business and scaling the operation, deploying LTV AI across channels, products and geographies and using AI for operating leverage. Source
  • Three AI initiatives funded this year: Investments target improved multi-product attachment, a more automated pricing engine and autonomous optimization of spend, channels and creative. Management expects better acquisition efficiency and lifetime value. Source
  • Autonomy-aware car pricing as long-term plan: Management said Lemonade Car is built for a future in which pricing reflects whether a human or AI is driving. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Net premiums written SourceQ4 2025: $244.1 million; full-year 2025: $763.5 million
Prior-year reserve development SourceGross loss ratio impact (9%) in Q4 2025
Catastrophe losses SourceCAT (excl. PPD) 1% of gross loss ratio in Q4 2025; gross loss ratio ex-CAT 51%
Investment income SourceNet investment income $9.2 million in Q4 2025; $37.8 million for 2025

Risks management discussed

  • Demand: Annual dollar retention was 85%, down 1 point, largely from non-renewal of policies that failed underwriting criteria. Source
  • Financial: Car's Q4 gross loss ratio of 40% benefited from year-end reserve movements; management points to the 70% trailing twelve month figure as smoothing that effect. Source
  • Regulatory: The insurance subsidiaries are required to hold about $250 million of regulatory surplus. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Met: Management said the 2025 optimization year and the 2026 breakout for Lemonade Car played out as it had previously described. Source
  • Not stated: Management reiterated expectations first noted in 2022, citing the predictability of the model and a consistent record of execution. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.