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Kinder Morgan, Inc.: Q3 FY2025 earnings call

What management said about Q3 FY2025, from the documents filed with the SEC on 22 October 2025: press release. Guidance figures: 1 raised, 3 new, 10 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Adjusted EPS rose 16% on the quarter: Adjusted EPS was $0.29, up 16% from the third quarter of 2024. Reported EPS was $0.28, flat. Adjusted Net Income Attributable to KMI was $648 million. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA rose 6% to $1,991 million: Adjusted EBITDA was $1,991 million against $1,880 million a year earlier. Nine-month Adjusted EBITDA was $6,120 million, up 4%. Source
  • Natural gas transport volumes up 6%: Transport volumes rose on LNG deliveries on TGP, new Texas Intrastate contracts and Permian deliveries to Waha and Mexico on El Paso Natural Gas. Outrigger Energy assets also contributed. Source
  • Project backlog at $9.3 billion: Backlog was $9.3 billion at September 30, 2025, with about $500 million placed in service and a roughly equal amount added. Natural gas projects are about 90% of backlog. Source
  • LNG contracts to reach almost 12 Bcf/d: Long-term contracts move almost 8 Bcf/d of natural gas to LNG facilities. With projects under construction, that is expected to reach almost 12 Bcf/d by end-2028. More LNG feedgas is being pursued. Source
  • Operating cash flow up 13%: Cash flow from operations was $1.4 billion, up 13%. FCF after capital expenditures was $0.6 billion, up 5%. Capital expenditures were $793 million in the quarter. Source
  • Leverage ratio down to 3.9 times: Net Debt-to-Adjusted EBITDA was 3.9 times at quarter end, against 4.0 times at June 30, 2025. The 2025 budget ends the year at 3.8 times. Source

“We are firmly in an era of American global energy leadership”

Executive Chairman Richard D. Kinder

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Net income attributable to KMI Source2025 budget$2.8 billion, up 8% versus 2024Kept
Adjusted EPS Source2025 budget$1.27, up 10% from 2024Kept
Dividends declared per share Source2025$1.17 per shareKept
Adjusted EBITDA Source2025 budget$8.3 billion, up 4% versus 2024Kept
Net Debt-to-Adjusted EBITDA Sourceend of 20253.8 timesKept
Trident Intrastate Pipeline in service Sourcefirst quarter 2027first quarter of 2027Kept
South Texas Enhancement Project in service Sourcesecond quarter 2028second quarter of 2028New
Mississippi Crossing in service Sourcefourth quarter 2028fourth quarter of 2028Kept
SSE4 phased in service Sourcefourth quarter 2028 and fourth quarter 2029phase 1 fourth quarter of 2028; phase 2 fourth quarter of 2029Kept
Hiland Express in service Sourceend of first quarter 2026near the end of the first quarter of 2026New
SFPP East Line expansion in service Sourceby April 1, 2026no later than April 1, 2026New
LNG feedgas contracted volume Sourceend of 2028almost 12 Bcf/dKept
Total natural gas demand growth Sourcethrough 203020%Kept
Remaining backlog Project EBITDA multiple Sourcefirst full year, on the remaining $7.9 billion of backlogapproximately 5.7 timesRaised from approximately 5.6 times, on $7.6 billion of projects

What changed from last quarter

  • New: Phillips 66 and KMI launched a binding open season for the proposed Western Gateway refined products pipeline, from Texas to Arizona, California and Las Vegas. Source
  • New: TGP signed binding firm transportation agreements with an anchor shipper to support the approximately $93 million South Texas Enhancement Project. Source
  • New: Management said development of the Hiland Express project, the Double H conversion to NGL service, remains on track. Source
  • New: KMI completed an open season for SFPP East Line expansion capacity to Tucson, adding 2,500 barrels per day of diesel capacity, fully supported by take-or-pay commitments. Source
  • New: The approximately $263 million Altamont Green River Pipeline was placed in service in September 2025, adding about 150 MMcf/d of capacity from the Uinta Basin. Source
  • Guidance kept: The 2025 budget for net income, Adjusted EPS, Adjusted EBITDA, leverage and the dividend was carried forward from the second quarter release. Source

Results and earnings growth

  • Adjusted EPS rose 16% on the quarter: Adjusted EPS was $0.29, up 16% from the third quarter of 2024. Reported EPS was $0.28, flat. Adjusted Net Income Attributable to KMI was $648 million. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA rose 6% to $1,991 million: Adjusted EBITDA was $1,991 million against $1,880 million a year earlier. Nine-month Adjusted EBITDA was $6,120 million, up 4%. Source
  • Three segments added to earnings: Natural Gas Pipelines, Products Pipelines and Terminals each contributed more than in the third quarter of 2024. CO2 contribution was lower. Source
  • Reported net income nearly flat: Net income attributable to KMI was $628 million against $625 million. Certain Items reduced 2025 net income and raised 2024 net income, which is why Adjusted figures grew faster. Source

Segments and volumes

  • Natural gas transport volumes up 6%: Transport volumes rose on LNG deliveries on TGP, new Texas Intrastate contracts and Permian deliveries to Waha and Mexico on El Paso Natural Gas. Outrigger Energy assets also contributed. Source
  • Gathering volumes up 9%: Gathering volumes rose 9% across all assets, driven mainly by the Haynesville and Eagle Ford systems. Natural Gas Pipelines Adjusted Segment EBDA was $1,403 million against $1,271 million. Source
  • Crude volumes fell on contract expiry: Crude and condensate volumes fell 3% after legacy contracts expired ahead of the Double H conversion to NGL service. Total refined products volumes fell 1%. Source
  • Jones Act fleet lifted terminals earnings: Terminals earnings rose, led by Jones Act tankers at higher rates under full term charters. Liquids terminals rose, while bulk terminal earnings were lower. Source
  • CO2 earnings fell on volumes: CO2 segment Adjusted EBDA was $136 million against $160 million. Net oil production was 25.04 MBbl/d against 26.08 MBbl/d a year earlier. Source

“We continued to internally fund high-quality capital projects while generating cash flow from operations of $1.4 billion”

Chief Executive Officer Kim Dang

Demand, customers and backlog

  • Project backlog at $9.3 billion: Backlog was $9.3 billion at September 30, 2025, with about $500 million placed in service and a roughly equal amount added. Natural gas projects are about 90% of backlog. Source
  • LNG contracts to reach almost 12 Bcf/d: Long-term contracts move almost 8 Bcf/d of natural gas to LNG facilities. With projects under construction, that is expected to reach almost 12 Bcf/d by end-2028. More LNG feedgas is being pursued. Source
  • Power generation share and pipeline: About 50% of backlog supports power generation. Management is exploring more than 10 Bcf/d for power generation, up from well over 5 Bcf/d in the second quarter release. Source
  • Natural gas demand seen up 20% by 2030: Management expects total natural gas demand to grow 20% through 2030, led by LNG exports. It states LNG nameplate capacity is expected to more than double by 2030. Source

Costs, prices and margins

  • Cost of sales rose with revenue: Costs of sales were $1,395 million against $1,024 million, while revenues were $4,146 million against $3,699 million. Operations and maintenance was $786 million against $790 million. Source
  • Realized oil and NGL prices lower: Realized oil price was $67.74 per Bbl against $68.42 a year earlier. Realized NGL price was $31.09 per Bbl against $32.38. Source
  • Interest and tax expense: Interest, net was $456 million against $466 million. Income tax expense was $185 million against $113 million in the third quarter of 2024. Source

“U.S. LNG nameplate capacity is expected to more than double by 2030.”

Chief Executive Officer Kim Dang

Capital projects and in-service dates

  • Trident Intrastate on track for 2027: The roughly 216-mile, 2.0 Bcf/d Trident project, about $1.8 billion, runs from Katy to the Port Arthur industrial corridor. Right-of-way and permitting are progressing. Source
  • SSE4 phased to late 2028 and 2029: SSE4, about $3.5 billion (KM-share $1.8 billion), adds about 1.3 Bcf/d to SNG's South Main Line. After the FERC certificate filing, stakeholder outreach continues. Source
  • Mississippi Crossing right-of-way progressing: The $1.7 billion MSX project would carry up to 2.1 Bcf/d to Southeast markets. Stakeholder outreach and right-of-way acquisition are underway after the FERC certificate filing. Source
  • Hiland Express and Altamont milestones: Hiland Express, about $150 million, is expected near the end of Q1 2026. Altamont Green River, about $263 million, was placed in service in September 2025. Source

Cash flow, leverage and dividends

  • Operating cash flow up 13%: Cash flow from operations was $1.4 billion, up 13%. FCF after capital expenditures was $0.6 billion, up 5%. Capital expenditures were $793 million in the quarter. Source
  • Leverage ratio down to 3.9 times: Net Debt-to-Adjusted EBITDA was 3.9 times at quarter end, against 4.0 times at June 30, 2025. The 2025 budget ends the year at 3.8 times. Source
  • FCF after dividends negative this quarter: Dividends paid were $654 million, leaving FCF after dividends of negative $33 million. Nine-month FCF after dividends was $69 million, against $353 million a year earlier. Source

Ratings and tax benefits

  • Tax savings expected from 2025: Management expects the permanent reinstatement of bonus depreciation and possible expanded interest deductibility to reduce cash tax liability starting in 2025, with larger benefits in 2026 and 2027. Source
  • Alternative minimum tax change adds savings: Management said recent regulatory adjustments to the corporate alternative minimum tax will unlock further cash savings beginning in 2026. Source

Coming up, as management said on 22 October 2025

  • Western Gateway open season closes: The Western Gateway open season, launched with Phillips 66, runs through December 19, 2025. After it succeeds, the line and SFPP's East Line will be jointly owned. Source
  • SFPP East Line expansion in service: The Tucson diesel expansion is expected to enter service no later than April 1, 2026, after permits and approvals are received. Source
  • Hiland Express in service: The Double H conversion to NGL service is anticipated to be in service near the end of the first quarter of 2026. Source
  • Quarterly dividend payment date: The $0.2925 quarterly dividend is payable November 17, 2025, to holders of record as of November 3, 2025. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
EPS growth target Source2025 budgeted Adjusted EPS of $1.27, up 10% from 2024
Capital plan SourceProject backlog of $9.3 billion

Risks management discussed

  • External: Management said lower-than-budgeted D3 RIN prices and volumes reduced the amount by which results exceed budget. Source
  • Demand: Bulk transload tonnage fell to 12.3 million tons in the quarter from 13.4 million a year earlier, with lower bulk terminal earnings. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • On track: Management said the Hiland Express development remains on track, with service expected near the end of the first quarter of 2026. Source
  • Not stated: Management expects to exceed budget mainly from Outrigger Energy II, but did not state a status against a dated milestone. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.