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Keel Infrastructure Corp.: Q3 FY2026 earnings call

What management said about Q3 FY2026, from the documents filed with the SEC on 5 November 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 3 new. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue fell after Bitcoin mining halt: Revenue was $28 million against $68 million a year earlier. The company cited the Q2 2026 end of U.S. Bitcoin mining as the main reason. Source
  • Capped call charge drove wider loss: Loss from continuing operations was $62 million, or $0.10 per share, against $11 million, or $0.02 per share, a year earlier. Source
  • Moses Lake construction began: The company said it received all necessary permits and cleared Notice to Proceed, then began construction at Moses Lake in September 2026. Source
  • Three permits cleared; four remain: Permitting at Sharon and Panther Creek cleared three permits. Four environmental permits remain, two of them in draft stage. Source
  • Lease talks advanced at three sites: Lease negotiations advanced across three near-term sites, alongside permitting and commercialization progress. Source
  • Expansion studies could raise capacity: Load studies for Panther Creek (up to 500 MW) and Scrubgrass (up to 1.3 GW) are framed as a potential increase in Secured 1 capacity, from 478 MW to 1,928 MW. Source
  • Entire Bitcoin treasury sold in Q3: The company sold 2,520 Bitcoin for $192 million, covering its whole treasury of 2,261 Bitcoin and 259 Bitcoin mined in the quarter. Source
  • Liquidity about $780 million: Unrestricted cash was about $780 million on November 4, 2026. The prior release reported $819 million of total liquidity, including Bitcoin. Source

“With competitive tension high at all three near-term sites, and multiple creditworthy parties at the negotiation table, I have every confidence we will sign the right leases for each site”

CEO Ben Gagnon

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Moses Lake HPC revenue Source2027expected to be first energized site generating HPC revenue in 2027New
Expansion load studies SourceQ1 2027completion in Q1 2027New
Secured 1 data-center capacity Sourceafter expansion load studiesup to 1,928 MW, from 478 MW (about 300% potential increase)New

What changed from last quarter

  • New guidance: Moses Lake is expected to be the first energized site generating HPC revenue in 2027, a timing statement not in the prior release. Source
  • New guidance: Expansion load studies were given a completion target of Q1 2027. Source
  • New: Moses Lake construction started in September 2026, after all necessary permits were received and Notice to Proceed was cleared. Source
  • New: An optional Vera Rubin design was engineered for the Moses Lake site. Source
  • New: Sharon and Panther Creek site plans were revised to comply with Pennsylvania's new Executive Order. Source
  • Ended: The company sold its entire Bitcoin treasury position in the quarter, leaving nominal Bitcoin holdings at September 30, 2026. Source
  • New: Bitcoin mined in Quebec will be sold on a daily basis going forward. Source

Results and growth drivers

  • Revenue fell after Bitcoin mining halt: Revenue was $28 million against $68 million a year earlier. The company cited the Q2 2026 end of U.S. Bitcoin mining as the main reason. Source
  • Capped call charge drove wider loss: Loss from continuing operations was $62 million, or $0.10 per share, against $11 million, or $0.02 per share, a year earlier. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA turned negative: Adjusted EBITDA was negative $27 million, compared with $19 million in Q3 2025. The company reports it as a non-GAAP measure. Source
  • Nine-month revenue fell: Nine-month revenue was $95.0 million, against $176.5 million in the same period of 2025, according to the consolidated table. Source

Segments and discontinued operations

  • North America is the continuing portfolio: Continuing operations cover the North American portfolio in Pennsylvania, Washington State and Québec. Argentina and Paraguay are shown as discontinued. Source
  • Paraguay and Argentina units sold: The Paraguay operations were sold on April 21, 2026, and the Argentina subsidiary on June 24, 2026. Source
  • Discontinued operations loss fell: Loss from discontinued operations was $0.3 million in Q3 2026, against $27.8 million in Q3 2025, per the consolidated table. Source

“Capital we deploy ahead of a lease becomes part of our equity contribution to a project's financing, and we examine opportunities to recycle capital on an ongoing basis.”

Jonathan Mir, CFO

Projects, permits and power capacity

  • Moses Lake construction began: The company said it received all necessary permits and cleared Notice to Proceed, then began construction at Moses Lake in September 2026. Source
  • Vera Rubin option engineered: For Moses Lake, an optional design for next-generation Vera Rubin architecture was engineered, which the company said would make Keel a full Vera Rubin platform company. Source
  • Three permits cleared; four remain: Permitting at Sharon and Panther Creek cleared three permits. Four environmental permits remain, two of them in draft stage. Source
  • Lease talks advanced at three sites: Lease negotiations advanced across three near-term sites, alongside permitting and commercialization progress. Source
  • Expansion studies could raise capacity: Load studies for Panther Creek (up to 500 MW) and Scrubgrass (up to 1.3 GW) are framed as a potential increase in Secured 1 capacity, from 478 MW to 1,928 MW. Source
  • Load studies on track for Q1 2027: Both expansion load studies remain on track for completion in Q1 2027, with no impact from the Executive Order. Source

Costs and operating expenses

  • General and administrative costs rose: G&A was $34 million against $17 million in Q3 2025, reflecting senior hires and professional fees as the company moves into project management. Source
  • Stock-based compensation rose: Stock-based compensation was $8.8 million against $2.9 million in Q3 2025, with the company citing larger combined vesting at higher fair values. Source
  • Depreciation fell year on year: Non-cash depreciation was $13 million in Q3 2026, against $27 million in Q3 2025. The operating loss was $8 million. Source

Bitcoin treasury and gross margin

  • Entire Bitcoin treasury sold in Q3: The company sold 2,520 Bitcoin for $192 million, covering its whole treasury of 2,261 Bitcoin and 259 Bitcoin mined in the quarter. Source
  • Quebec Bitcoin sold daily: Bitcoin mined from Quebec operations will be sold each day from now on, according to the company. Source
  • Treasury price exposure removed: Management said the change removes exposure to Bitcoin price movements on treasury holdings, which were nominal at September 30, 2026. Source
  • Gross loss grew as revenue fell: Gross loss was $14.6 million against $2.3 million a year earlier. Cost of revenues of $42.2 million exceeded revenue of $27.6 million. Source

Capital, cash and liquidity

  • Liquidity about $780 million: Unrestricted cash was about $780 million on November 4, 2026. The prior release reported $819 million of total liquidity, including Bitcoin. Source
  • No financing needed before lease: Management said no debt or equity financing is needed before a lease is signed, and the company keeps the current liquidity position. Source
  • Capital recycling reviewed on ongoing basis: Capital spent before a lease is signed counts toward the project's equity contribution. The company reviews capital recycling on an ongoing basis. Source

Strategy and development pipeline

  • Pivot to North American HPC: Since 2025 the company has shifted toward HPC infrastructure in North America and wound down most legacy Bitcoin mining operations. Source
  • Pipeline of 2.2 gigawatts: The company describes a development pipeline of 2.2 gigawatts with grid interconnections in place across Pennsylvania, Washington State and Québec. Source
  • Advance at customers' speed: The CFO said the strategy is to advance at the speed customers require, while signing leases and obtaining project financing. Source

Coming up, as management said on 5 November 2026

  • Moses Lake first energized site: Management expects Moses Lake to be the first energized site generating HPC revenue, in 2027. Source
  • Quebec Bitcoin sold daily: Bitcoin mined in Quebec will be sold each day from now on, according to the company. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Secured 1 data-center capacity Source478 MW
Potential expansion capacity Source1,928 MW
Development pipeline Source2.2 gigawatts

Risks management discussed

  • Regulatory: Revised site plans at Sharon and Panther Creek were made to comply with Pennsylvania's new Executive Order; management reports no meaningful change to costs or timelines. Source
  • External: Revenue was also affected by a lower average Bitcoin price, alongside the halt of U.S. Bitcoin mining. Source
  • Operational: Management said power supply is becoming scarcer while demand keeps rising. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • On track: Management said both studies remain on track for completion in Q1 2027. Source
  • Not stated: The prior release referred to a previously communicated wind-down of the Bitcoin position; the current release gives no status for it.

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.