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GE Vernova Inc.: Q4 FY2025 earnings call

What management said about Q4 FY2025, from the documents filed with the SEC on 28 January 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 4 raised, 1 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Orders and revenue both grew: Full-year orders were $59.3 billion, up 34% organically, and full-year revenue was $38.1 billion, up 9%. Fourth-quarter orders were $22.2 billion, up 65% organically. Source
  • Wind fourth-quarter revenue fell: Fourth-quarter Wind revenue was $2.4 billion, down 25% organically, as Onshore Wind equipment deliveries fell. Segment EBITDA was a $0.2 billion loss, a (9.5)% margin. Source
  • Gas backlog and reservations grew: Gas Power equipment backlog and slot reservation agreements rose from 62 to 83 GW in the quarter. The company signed 24 GW of new contracts, including 21 GW of slot reservation agreements. Source
  • Equipment margin in backlog expanded: Equipment margin in backlog grew by $8 billion over the year, with six points of accretion, which management linked to favorable price and disciplined underwriting. Source
  • Backlog grew $15 billion in quarter: Backlog grew by $15.0 billion sequentially, from equipment and services at Power and Electrification. Source
  • Free cash flow more than doubled: Full-year free cash flow was $3.7 billion, more than double the prior year, primarily due to working capital benefits and higher adjusted EBITDA. Source
  • Prolec GE stake purchase: The company will acquire the remaining 50% stake of Prolec GE, its joint venture with Xignux, for $5.275 billion, now expected to close on February 2, 2026. Source

“We delivered strong financial performance in 2025 with continued momentum in Power and Electrification while focusing on what we can control in Wind.”

GE Vernova CEO Scott Strazik

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Revenue Source2026$44-$45 billionRaised from $41-$42 billion
Adjusted EBITDA margin Source202611%-13%
Free cash flow Source2026$5.0-$5.5 billionRaised from $4.5-$5.0 billion
Power organic revenue growth Source202616%-18%
Power segment EBITDA margin Source202616%-18%
Wind segment EBITDA losses Source2026Approximately $400 million
Electrification revenue Source2026$13.5-$14.0 billion, including approximately $3 billion from Prolec GE
Electrification segment EBITDA margin Source202617%-19%Kept
Revenue by 2028 Source2028$56 billionRaised from $52 billion
Adjusted EBITDA margin by 2028 Source202820%
Cumulative free cash flow Source2025 through 2028At least $24 billionRaised from At least $22 billion
Power segment EBITDA margin by 2028 Source202822%
Wind segment EBITDA margin by 2028 Source20286%
Electrification organic revenue CAGR SourceThrough 2028High-teens, plus approximately $4 billion of Prolec GE revenue
Electrification segment EBITDA margin by 2028 Source202822%

What changed from last quarter

  • Guidance raised: 2026 revenue guidance raised to $44-$45 billion from $41-$42 billion. Source
  • Guidance raised: 2026 free cash flow guidance raised to $5.0-$5.5 billion from $4.5-$5.0 billion. Source
  • Guidance raised: Revenue figure for 2028 raised to $56 billion from $52 billion. The company says the figures now include Prolec GE. Source
  • Guidance raised: Cumulative free cash flow through 2028 raised to at least $24 billion from at least $22 billion. Source
  • New: Prolec GE acquisition now expected to close on February 2, 2026, after regulatory approvals. The prior release expected closing by mid-2026. Source
  • New: Quarterly dividend doubled to $0.50 per share, declared on December 9. Source
  • New: Share repurchase authorization increased to $10 billion from $6 billion. Source
  • New: S&P and Fitch upgraded the company's investment grade credit ratings in December 2025. Source

Results and growth drivers

  • Orders and revenue both grew: Full-year orders were $59.3 billion, up 34% organically, and full-year revenue was $38.1 billion, up 9%. Fourth-quarter orders were $22.2 billion, up 65% organically. Source
  • Net income included tax benefit: Fourth-quarter net income was $3.7 billion, a 33.5% margin, with diluted EPS of $13.39. The result includes a $2.9 billion benefit from a U.S. valuation allowance release. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin rose: Full-year adjusted EBITDA was $3.2 billion, an 8.4% margin, up 260 basis points. Fourth-quarter adjusted EBITDA was $1.2 billion at a 10.6% margin. Source

Segments and regions

  • Power orders and revenue grew: Power full-year orders were $32.8 billion, up 52% organically. Revenue was $19.8 billion, up 10% organically, led by Gas Power equipment and services. Source
  • Electrification revenue rose 26%: Electrification full-year revenue was $9.6 billion, up 26% organically, driven by switchgear, HVDC and substation volume. Segment EBITDA margin was 14.9%, up 590 basis points. Source
  • Wind fourth-quarter revenue fell: Fourth-quarter Wind revenue was $2.4 billion, down 25% organically, as Onshore Wind equipment deliveries fell. Segment EBITDA was a $0.2 billion loss, a (9.5)% margin. Source
  • Wind full-year loss and margin: Full-year Wind revenue was $9.1 billion, down 6%. Segment EBITDA loss was $0.6 billion, a (6.6)% margin, with organic margin up 20 basis points. Source
  • Onshore Wind orders rose abroad: Fourth-quarter Wind orders were $3.1 billion, up 53% organically, driven by improved Onshore Wind equipment, primarily outside North America. Source

“Given our strong free cash flow generation, we ended the quarter with a healthy cash balance of nearly $9 billion, which continues to give us confidence to invest in our core businesses”

GE Vernova CFO Ken Parks

Products and customers

  • Gas Power equipment tripled: Fourth-quarter Gas Power equipment orders tripled year over year on higher volume and pricing, with 41 heavy-duty units including 15 HA turbines, and 18 aeroderivative units. Source
  • Gas backlog and reservations grew: Gas Power equipment backlog and slot reservation agreements rose from 62 to 83 GW in the quarter. The company signed 24 GW of new contracts, including 21 GW of slot reservation agreements. Source
  • Nuclear small reactor revenue rose: Power equipment revenue grew on higher small modular reactor revenue at Nuclear Power and aeroderivative growth at Gas Power, partly offset by fewer heavy-duty gas turbine deliveries. Source
  • Onshore Wind repowering orders secured: Wind secured 1.1 GW of U.S. Onshore Wind repowering orders during 2025. Source

Costs, margins and pricing

  • Price and productivity lifted Power: Fourth-quarter Power segment EBITDA margin rose 200 basis points, driven by price and productivity, which more than offset added spending at Nuclear Power and Gas Power and inflation. Source
  • Equipment margin in backlog expanded: Equipment margin in backlog grew by $8 billion over the year, with six points of accretion, which management linked to favorable price and disciplined underwriting. Source
  • Electrification margin rose on volume: Fourth-quarter Electrification segment EBITDA was $0.5 billion, with a 17.1% margin, up 410 basis points, attributed to volume, productivity and price. Source
  • Wind margin fell on offshore losses: Fourth-quarter Wind margin fell 1,010 basis points, due to higher Offshore Wind contract losses and lower Onshore Wind equipment volume, partly offset by improved Onshore Wind services. Source

“Our platform of advanced solutions is well-positioned to serve the growing, long-cycle electric power market”

GE Vernova CEO Scott Strazik

Demand and order book

  • Backlog grew $15 billion in quarter: Backlog grew by $15.0 billion sequentially, from equipment and services at Power and Electrification. Source
  • Full-year backlog growth: Total backlog grew by $31.2 billion year over year over the full year. Source
  • Electrification equipment backlog up: Electrification equipment backlog reached $30.5 billion, up $10.5 billion or 53% year over year, led by Europe, the Middle East, North America and Asia. Source
  • Grid demand in Middle East and North America: Fourth-quarter Electrification orders were $7.4 billion, up 50% organically, with demand for grid equipment particularly in the Middle East and North America. Source

Capital, cash and returns

  • Free cash flow more than doubled: Full-year free cash flow was $3.7 billion, more than double the prior year, primarily due to working capital benefits and higher adjusted EBITDA. Source
  • Cash balance and capital returned: The company reported a cash balance of $8.8 billion and returned $3.6 billion to shareholders during 2025. Source
  • Share repurchases in quarter and year: The company repurchased about 1.9 million shares for $1.1 billion in the fourth quarter. Full-year repurchases totaled 8.2 million shares at an average price of $406. Source
  • Capex and production initiatives: Fourth-quarter capital expenditure was $0.7 billion, including initiatives to increase production in Power and Electrification. Full-year additions to property, plant and equipment were $1.3 billion. Source
  • Investment-grade ratings upgraded: In December, S&P upgraded the company's rating to BBB from BBB-, and Fitch upgraded it to BBB+ from BBB. Source

Strategy, investment and safety

  • Prolec GE stake purchase: The company will acquire the remaining 50% stake of Prolec GE, its joint venture with Xignux, for $5.275 billion, now expected to close on February 2, 2026. Source
  • R&D spending funded in quarter: The company funded $0.4 billion of R&D in the fourth quarter to advance energy transition technologies. Source
  • Multi-year targets now include Prolec: The company said it is increasing its multi-year financial targets through 2028 to include Prolec GE. Source
  • Wind focus on controllable factors: Management said it is focusing on what it can control in Wind, while continuing momentum in Power and Electrification. Source
  • Zero fatalities in quarter: The company reported zero fatalities in the fourth quarter and said safety remains a top priority. Source

Coming up, as management said on 28 January 2026

  • Prolec GE closing February 2: The Prolec GE acquisition is expected to close on February 2, 2026, after regulatory approvals were received. Source
  • Dividend payable February 2: The $0.50 quarterly dividend is payable on February 2, 2026, to stockholders of record as of January 5, 2026. Source

Risks management discussed

  • Demand: Onshore Wind equipment deliveries fell because orders were soft over the prior year, reducing Wind revenue. Source
  • External: Tariffs reduced results across the Wind segment for the full year. Source
  • Operational: Higher Offshore Wind contract losses weighed on Wind segment results in the fourth quarter. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Not stated: The company refers to its earlier capex commitment, including Prolec GE spending from 2026 to 2028. Source
  • Not stated: The company refers to its earlier R&D commitment for 2025 through 2028. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.