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GEO Group Inc.: Q1 FY2026 earnings call

What management said about Q1 FY2026, from the documents filed with the SEC on 6 May 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 6 raised, 4 new. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue rose 17 percent: Total revenues were $705.2 million against $604.6 million a year earlier, a 17 percent increase. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA rose 32 percent: Adjusted EBITDA was $131.4 million against $99.8 million a year earlier, a 32 percent increase. Source
  • Full-year net income and EPS raised: Full-year 2026 net income attributable is now $153 million to $166 million, or $1.15 to $1.25 per diluted share, up from $0.99 to $1.07. Source
  • Full-year Adjusted EBITDA guidance raised: Full-year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance is $525 million to $545 million, up from $490 million to $510 million. Source
  • Second-quarter guidance issued: Second-quarter net income attributable is guided to $33 million to $39 million, or $0.25 to $0.29 per diluted share. Source
  • Activations add about $300 million annually: The facility activations represent annualized revenues of about $300 million. Source
  • Labor costs below prior guidance: Labor costs came in below the company's prior first-quarter 2026 guidance, which reduced operating expenses. Source

“We expect 2026 to be very active as well and therefore believe that we have upside potential across our diversified business segments.”

George C. Zoley, GEO’s Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and Founder

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Revenues SourceFY2026$2.95 billion to $3.10 billionRaised from $2.9 billion to $3.1 billion
Net income attributable to GEO Operations SourceFY2026$153 million to $166 millionRaised from $132.5 million to $145.5 million
Diluted EPS (net income attributable) SourceFY2026$1.15 to $1.25 per diluted shareRaised from $0.99 to $1.07
Adjusted EBITDA SourceFY2026$525 million to $545 millionRaised from $490 million to $510 million
Capital expenditures SourceFY2026$137.5 million to $162.5 millionRaised from $120 million to $155 million
Effective tax rate SourceFY2026approximately 30 percentRaised from approximately 28 percent
Net income attributable to GEO Operations SourceQ2 2026$33 million to $39 millionNew
Diluted EPS (net income attributable) SourceQ2 2026$0.25 to $0.29 per diluted shareNew
Revenues SourceQ2 2026$715 million to $725 millionNew
Adjusted EBITDA SourceQ2 2026$130 million to $135 millionNew

What changed from last quarter

  • Guidance raised: FY2026 revenue guidance raised to $2.95 billion to $3.10 billion from $2.9 billion to $3.1 billion. Source
  • Guidance raised: FY2026 net income attributable to GEO Operations raised to $153 million to $166 million, or $1.15 to $1.25 per diluted share. Source
  • Guidance raised: FY2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance raised to $525 million to $545 million from $490 million to $510 million. Source
  • Guidance raised: Full-year capital expenditure range raised to $137.5 million to $162.5 million from $120 million to $155 million. Source
  • Guidance raised: Effective tax rate assumption rose to about 30 percent from about 28 percent. Source
  • Guidance lowered: Diluted share count range moved to 133 million from 134 million to 136 million. Source
  • New guidance: Second-quarter 2026 guidance issued for the first time, alongside the raised full-year figures. Source

Quarter results and drivers

  • Revenue rose 17 percent: Total revenues were $705.2 million against $604.6 million a year earlier, a 17 percent increase. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDA rose 32 percent: Adjusted EBITDA was $131.4 million against $99.8 million a year earlier, a 32 percent increase. Source
  • Net income attributable rose 96 percent: Net income attributable to GEO Operations was $38.3 million, or $0.29 per diluted share. Source
  • 2025 contracts drove first-quarter growth: Management attributed the revenue growth to contracts entered into throughout 2025. Source
  • Small one-time costs in quarter: Transaction fees, employee restructuring and close-out expenses totaled $0.4 million, pre-tax, in the quarter. Source

Full-year and second-quarter guidance

  • Full-year net income and EPS raised: Full-year 2026 net income attributable is now $153 million to $166 million, or $1.15 to $1.25 per diluted share, up from $0.99 to $1.07. Source
  • Full-year revenue guidance raised: Full-year 2026 revenue guidance is $2.95 billion to $3.10 billion, up from $2.9 billion to $3.1 billion. Source
  • Full-year Adjusted EBITDA guidance raised: Full-year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance is $525 million to $545 million, up from $490 million to $510 million. Source
  • Second-quarter guidance issued: Second-quarter net income attributable is guided to $33 million to $39 million, or $0.25 to $0.29 per diluted share. Source
  • 2025 growth normalizing in 2026: Management said results were driven by growth from new contracts captured in 2025, which are normalizing in 2026. Source

“We remain focused on pursuing new growth opportunities and allocating capital to enhance long-term value for our shareholders.”

George C. Zoley, GEO’s Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and Founder

Secure services and facility activations

  • 2025 wins worth up to $520 million: New or expanded contracts awarded in 2025 represent up to about $520 million in new incremental annualized revenue. Source
  • Four ICE facilities add 6,000 beds: ICE detainee contracts cover four facilities, about 6,000 beds, including three idle company-owned facilities and a Florida management contract. Source
  • Activations add about $300 million annually: The facility activations represent annualized revenues of about $300 million. Source
  • Adelanto reactivated after court case: The company-owned Adelanto ICE Processing Center in California was reactivated after being underused due to a COVID-related court case. Source

Monitoring, transport and skip tracing

  • GPS ankle bracelet participants climb: ISAP participants on GPS ankle bracelets rose to more than 48,000 currently, from 17,000 in early 2025. Source
  • SmartLINK app participants decline: ISAP participants on the SmartLINK app fell to about 131,000, from about 159,000 in early 2025. Source
  • Transport contracts worth $60 million: Expanded secure transportation contracts for ICE and the U.S. Marshals are valued at about $60 million in incremental annualized revenue. Source
  • Skip tracing services started March: Skip tracing services under a new two-year ICE contract began in March 2026. Source

Labor and operating costs

  • Labor costs below prior guidance: Labor costs came in below the company's prior first-quarter 2026 guidance, which reduced operating expenses. Source
  • Operating expenses rose to $521.5 million: Operating expenses were $521.5 million, compared with $453.8 million in the first quarter 2025. Source
  • Labor savings to moderate for 2026: Guidance assumes labor cost savings contribute more moderately over the rest of 2026. Source

Balance sheet and liquidity

  • Cash and debt at quarter end: At March 31, 2026 the company held about $80 million in cash and about $1.61 billion in total debt. Source
  • Net leverage below 3.2 times: Total net debt was about $1.53 billion, with net leverage below 3.2 times trailing Adjusted EBITDA. Source
  • Revolver expansion adds liquidity: The Revolving Credit Facility was expanded by $100 million, which management said supports its capital needs. Source

Share repurchases and capital spending

  • Repurchased 3.6 million shares: During the quarter the company repurchased about 3.6 million shares for approximately $50 million. Source
  • $359 million authorization remains: About $359 million of the $500 million repurchase authorization remains available. Source
  • Capital expenditure mix for 2026: Full-year capital expenditure splits into growth $20 million to $30 million, technology $27.5 million to $32.5 million and facility maintenance $90 million to $100 million. Source

Coming up, as management said on 6 May 2026

  • Graceville and Bay transitions July 1: Two Florida managed-only facilities, 1,884 and 985 beds, are scheduled to move to GEO management on July 1, 2026. Source
  • Possible revenue beyond guidance: Management listed possible added revenue not in guidance, including more idle facility reactivations, ISAP volume, skip tracing utilization and transport growth. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
ISAP participants on GPS ankle bracelets Sourcemore than 48,000, up from 17,000 in early 2025
ISAP participants on SmartLINK app Sourceapproximately 131,000, down from approximately 159,000 in early 2025
ISAP participants in case management Sourceapproximately 111,000
Owned beds Source50,000 beds at 70 facilities
Facilities and beds operated Source96 facilities, approximately 75,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development

Risks management discussed

  • Financial: Share repurchases depend on market conditions, regulatory requirements, and existing obligations including the Credit Agreement. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Not stated: Labor costs were below the company's prior first-quarter 2026 guidance. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.