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EQT Corp.: Q4 FY2025 earnings call

What management said about Q4 FY2025, from the documents filed with the SEC on 17 February 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 1 raised, 22 new. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Fourth quarter sales volume above guidance: Sales volume was 609 Bcfe, above the high end of guidance, citing well performance, system pressure optimization and fewer-than-expected price-related curtailments. Source
  • Full year earnings and cash flow rose: Full-year diluted EPS was $3.31 versus $0.45 and adjusted EPS was $3.05 versus $1.60. Free cash flow attributable to EQT was $2,503 million versus $684 million. Source
  • Operating costs per unit lower in 2025: Full-year 2025 operating costs were $1.05 per Mcfe versus $1.23 in 2024. Fourth-quarter operating costs were $1.10 versus $1.07. Management said costs were toward the low end of guidance in the quarter. Source
  • Net debt reduced during 2025: Total debt was $7.8 billion and net debt $7.7 billion at year end, versus $9.3 billion and $9.1 billion a year earlier. Liquidity was about $3.5 billion. Source
  • Free cash flow attributable to EQT in 2026: About $3.5 billion projected at recent strip pricing, including about $600 million of elected growth capital. Year-end 2026 net debt projected at about $4.7 billion. Source
  • MVP ownership stake increase: Exercised option to acquire part of ConEdison's interest for about $115 million payable by EQT, raising ownership in MVP Mainline and MVP Boost from about 49% to 53%. Closing expected in the first half of 2026. Source
  • Proved reserves rose 7%: Proved reserves reached 28.0 Tcfe, up 7% year over year, with extensions, discoveries and Olympus acquisition additions. PV-10 was $26 billion at SEC pricing, or $31 billion at recent strip pricing. Source

“EQT delivered outstanding performance across the board in 2025, exceeding production forecasts, achieving record-low operating costs and coming in below budget on capital spending.”

Toby Z. Rice, President and CEO

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Total sales volume SourceFull year 20262,275 - 2,375 BcfeNew
Total sales volume SourceQ1 2026560 - 610 BcfeNew
Total maintenance capital expenditures SourceFull year 2026$2,070 - $2,210 millionNew
Growth capital expenditures SourceFull year 2026$580 - $640 millionNew
Free cash flow attributable to EQT SourceFull year 2026~$3.5 billionNew
Net debt SourceEnd of 2026~$4.7 billionNew
Net debt SourceEnd of Q1 2026sub-$6 billionNew
Average differential SourceQ1 2026$0.05 - $0.15 per McfNew
Average differential SourceFull year 2026($0.55) - ($0.35) per McfNew
Liquids sales volume, excluding ethane SourceFull year 202613,800 - 14,600 MbblNew
Ethane sales volume SourceFull year 20266,050 - 6,450 MbblNew
Total liquids sales volume SourceFull year 202619,850 - 21,050 MbblNew
Btu uplift SourceFull year 20261.050 - 1.060 MMBtu/McfNew
Top-hole and horizontal rigs SourceFull year 20262 - 3 top-hole rigs; 2 - 3 horizontal rigs; 2 - 3 frac crewsNew
Third-party midstream revenue SourceFull year 2026$600 - $700 millionNew
Operating costs per Mcfe SourceFull year 2026$1.07 - $1.21New
Transmission cost per Mcfe SourceFull year 2026$0.43 - $0.45New
SG&A cost per Mcfe SourceFull year 2026$0.19 - $0.21New
Distributions from MVP Joint Venture and LMM SourceFull year 2026$205 - $230 millionNew
Distributions to PipeBox noncontrolling interest SourceFull year 2026$420 - $460 millionNew
Turn-in-line wells SourceFull year 2026125 - 150 net wellsNew
Capital contributions to equity method investments SourceFull year 2026$70 - $80 millionNew
Hedge percentage Source202625%Raised from 7%

What changed from last quarter

  • New guidance: 2026 guidance issued for sales volume, capital, costs, differentials, midstream revenue, distributions and rig counts. Source
  • Guidance raised: 2026 hedge percentage increased from 7% to 25% with collars added. Source
  • New: EQT elected to invest its first $580 - $640 million of post-dividend free cash flow in 2026 into infrastructure-focused growth projects. Source

Fourth quarter and full year results

  • Fourth quarter sales volume above guidance: Sales volume was 609 Bcfe, above the high end of guidance, citing well performance, system pressure optimization and fewer-than-expected price-related curtailments. Source
  • Full year earnings and cash flow rose: Full-year diluted EPS was $3.31 versus $0.45 and adjusted EPS was $3.05 versus $1.60. Free cash flow attributable to EQT was $2,503 million versus $684 million. Source
  • Fourth quarter realized price rose: Average realized price was $3.44 per Mcfe versus $3.01 a year earlier. Fourth-quarter diluted EPS was $1.08 versus $0.69. Source

Segments and regions

  • Upstream and midstream operations in Appalachia: The company describes itself as a vertically integrated natural gas company with upstream and midstream operations focused in the Appalachian Basin. 93% of total proved reserves are in the Marcellus Shale. Source

“seamless coordination between our midstream, upstream and gas marketing teams resulted in negligible impact to EQT's production.”

Toby Z. Rice, President and CEO

Products and customers

  • Natural gas dominates sales volume: Full-year 2025 natural gas sales volume was 2,238,652 MMcf of 2,382,367 MMcfe total. NGLs excluding ethane were 14,746 Mbbl and ethane 7,422 Mbbl. Source
  • Third-party midstream revenue expected to rise: Third-party midstream revenue was $600 - $700 million for 2026, versus pipeline and other revenue of $626.5 million reported in 2025. Source

Costs, margins and pricing

  • Operating costs per unit lower in 2025: Full-year 2025 operating costs were $1.05 per Mcfe versus $1.23 in 2024. Fourth-quarter operating costs were $1.10 versus $1.07. Management said costs were toward the low end of guidance in the quarter. Source
  • Fourth quarter capital expenditures came in lower: Capital expenditures were $655 million, 4% below the mid-point of guidance, citing operational efficiency gains and lower-than-expected infrastructure spending. Source
  • Differential tighter than guidance: Realized differential was $0.11 tighter than the mid-point of guidance, attributed to natural gas marketing optimization and the curtailment strategy. Source
  • Hedging extended for 2026: Hedge percentage for 2026 increased from 7% to 25%, with collars at weighted average floor of $3.94 and ceiling of $5.70 per MMBtu. Source

Demand and the order book

  • Winter Storm Fern performance: Production uptime during Winter Storm Fern was about 2x better than Appalachia peers, management said, with negligible impact to production. Source
  • Premium firm sales deals pending: The company holds 1.2 Bcf per day of premium firm sales deals with major utilities in the Southeast, tied to the future in-service of the Transco Southeast Expansion, with timing not known with reasonable certainty at year end. Source

Capital, cash and shareholder returns

  • Net debt reduced during 2025: Total debt was $7.8 billion and net debt $7.7 billion at year end, versus $9.3 billion and $9.1 billion a year earlier. Liquidity was about $3.5 billion. Source
  • Free cash flow attributable to EQT in 2026: About $3.5 billion projected at recent strip pricing, including about $600 million of elected growth capital. Year-end 2026 net debt projected at about $4.7 billion. Source
  • Dividends paid and buybacks in 2025: Dividends paid were $389.6 million in 2025 versus $326.6 million in 2024. No common stock was repurchased in 2025 or 2024. Source

Strategy and investment

  • MVP ownership stake increase: Exercised option to acquire part of ConEdison's interest for about $115 million payable by EQT, raising ownership in MVP Mainline and MVP Boost from about 49% to 53%. Closing expected in the first half of 2026. Source
  • Proved reserves rose 7%: Proved reserves reached 28.0 Tcfe, up 7% year over year, with extensions, discoveries and Olympus acquisition additions. PV-10 was $26 billion at SEC pricing, or $31 billion at recent strip pricing. Source
  • Drilling efficiency records: Management said the company set several efficiency records in the fourth quarter, with 2025 average well cost per foot 13% lower year over year and 6% below internal expectations. Source

Management commentary

  • Management summed up the year: Rice said 2025 delivered outstanding performance across production, operating costs and capital spending, with free cash flow above consensus and internal estimates. Source

Coming up, as management said on 17 February 2026

  • MVP interest acquisition closing: Transaction expected to close in the first half of 2026, subject to HSR Act requirements and customary closing conditions. Source
  • Net debt projected below $6 billion: Net debt at the end of the first quarter of 2026 projected to be sub-$6 billion. Source

Risks management discussed

  • External: Natural gas prices are volatile and out of the company's control, affecting cash flow and debt timing. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Not stated: EQT elected to invest its first $580 - $640 million of post-dividend free cash flow in 2026 into growth projects. Source
  • Ahead: Management said 2025 production exceeded forecasts and capital spending came in below budget. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.