greeksoup/ stock research

Deere & Co.: Q3 FY2026 earnings call

What management said about Q3 FY2026, from the documents filed with the SEC on 20 August 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 4 raised, 7 lowered, 9 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Third-quarter net income rose 7 percent: Net income attributable to Deere was $1.379 billion, or $5.10 per diluted share, compared with $1.289 billion, or $4.75, a year earlier. Source
  • Production and Precision Ag sales fell: Net sales were $3.998 billion, down 6 percent, and operating profit was $527 million, down 9 percent, with margin at 13.2% against 13.6%. Source
  • Small Ag and Turf profit rose 28%: Net sales were $3.383 billion, up 12 percent; operating profit was $622 million, up 28 percent, and margin rose to 18.4% from 16.0%. Source
  • Construction and Forestry profit up 84%: Net sales were $3.618 billion, up 18 percent, and operating profit was $436 million against $237 million, with margin at 12.1% against 7.7%. Source
  • Production costs weighed on PPA margin: Lower shipment volumes, sales mix and higher production costs reduced Production & Precision Ag profit; price realization and currency partly offset the decline. Source
  • Management sees 2026 as cycle bottom: Management said it continues to believe 2026 will mark the bottom of the current agricultural equipment cycle. Source
  • Order programs and used inventories cited: Management cited early order program trends, improving used-equipment inventories and rising adoption of advanced technologies as support for its view. Source
  • Net income forecast raised: Management raised its fiscal 2026 net income forecast from the prior range. Source

“Our performance underscores the strength of our business, supported by stable U.S. market conditions, our ability to manage softer conditions in Brazil and Europe, and our commitment to helping customers succeed.”

John C. May, chairman and chief executive officer

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Net income attributable to Deere & Company Sourcefiscal 2026$4.75 billion to $5.00 billionRaised from $4.5 billion to $5.0 billion
U.S. & Canada Large Ag industry Sourcefiscal 2026Down 15 to 20%Kept
U.S. & Canada Small Ag & Turf industry Sourcefiscal 2026Flat to up 5%Kept
South America tractors and combines industry Sourcefiscal 2026Down 15 to 20%Lowered from Down ~15%
Asia agriculture industry Sourcefiscal 2026FlatKept
U.S. & Canada construction equipment industry Sourcefiscal 2026Up 5 to 10%Raised from Up ~5%
U.S. & Canada compact construction equipment industry Sourcefiscal 2026Up ~5%Kept
Global forestry industry Sourcefiscal 2026Down ~10%Lowered from Down ~5%
Global roadbuilding industry Sourcefiscal 2026Up ~10%Kept
Production & Precision Agriculture net sales Sourcefiscal 2026Down ~10%Lowered from Down 5 to 10%
Production & Precision Agriculture currency translation Sourcefiscal 2026+2.5%Lowered from +3.0%
Production & Precision Agriculture price realization Sourcefiscal 2026~ +1.0%Kept
Small Ag & Turf net sales Sourcefiscal 2026Up ~15%Kept
Small Ag & Turf currency translation Sourcefiscal 2026+0.5%Lowered from +1.0%
Small Ag & Turf price realization Sourcefiscal 2026~ +1.5%Kept
Construction & Forestry net sales Sourcefiscal 2026Up ~20%Kept
Construction & Forestry currency translation Sourcefiscal 2026+1.5%Lowered from +2.0%
Construction & Forestry price realization Sourcefiscal 2026~ +3.0%Raised from ~ +2.5%
Financial Services net income Sourcefiscal 2026~ $870Raised from ~ $860
Europe agriculture industry Sourcefiscal 2026FlatLowered from Flat to up 5%

What changed from last quarter

  • Guidance raised: Fiscal 2026 net income forecast was raised from the prior range. Source
  • Guidance raised: Financial Services net income forecast raised to about $870 million from about $860 million. Source
  • Guidance raised: U.S. and Canada construction equipment industry forecast raised to up 5 to 10 percent. Source
  • Guidance lowered: Production & Precision Ag net sales forecast lowered to down about 10 percent from down 5 to 10 percent. Source
  • Guidance lowered: South America tractors and combines forecast lowered to down 15 to 20 percent from down about 15 percent. Source
  • Guidance lowered: Global forestry industry forecast lowered to down about 10 percent from down about 5 percent. Source
  • New: Other small acquisitions for technology offerings, costing $16 million combined, were completed in 2026. Source
  • Guidance lowered: Europe agriculture industry forecast lowered to flat from flat to up 5 percent. Source

Results and growth drivers

  • Third-quarter net income rose 7 percent: Net income attributable to Deere was $1.379 billion, or $5.10 per diluted share, compared with $1.289 billion, or $4.75, a year earlier. Source
  • Quarterly revenue rose 5 percent: Net sales were $10.999 billion against $10.357 billion; nine-month net sales were $30.779 billion against $28.338 billion, and nine-month revenue grew 7 percent. Source
  • Nine-month net income fell 4 percent: Nine-month diluted EPS was $14.06 against $14.57, while nine-month total operating profit rose 4 percent to $4.867 billion. Source

Segments and regions

  • Production and Precision Ag sales fell: Net sales were $3.998 billion, down 6 percent, and operating profit was $527 million, down 9 percent, with margin at 13.2% against 13.6%. Source
  • Small Ag and Turf profit rose 28%: Net sales were $3.383 billion, up 12 percent; operating profit was $622 million, up 28 percent, and margin rose to 18.4% from 16.0%. Source
  • Construction and Forestry profit up 84%: Net sales were $3.618 billion, up 18 percent, and operating profit was $436 million against $237 million, with margin at 12.1% against 7.7%. Source
  • Financial Services earnings edged higher: Financial Services net income was $219 million against $205 million, helped by favorable financing spreads and partly offset by a lower average portfolio. Source

“As we look ahead, we continue to believe 2026 will mark the bottom of the current ag equipment cycle,” May said.”

John C. May, chairman and chief executive officer

Costs, margins and pricing

  • Production costs weighed on PPA margin: Lower shipment volumes, sales mix and higher production costs reduced Production & Precision Ag profit; price realization and currency partly offset the decline. Source
  • Small Ag margin rose on price and volume: Higher volumes, sales mix and price realization lifted Small Ag & Turf operating profit, with higher production costs partly offsetting the gain. Source
  • Construction pricing lifted profit: Price realization was the main driver of the Construction & Forestry profit gain; higher SA&G and R&D costs partly offset it. Source

Demand and the order book

  • Management sees 2026 as cycle bottom: Management said it continues to believe 2026 will mark the bottom of the current agricultural equipment cycle. Source
  • Order programs and used inventories cited: Management cited early order program trends, improving used-equipment inventories and rising adoption of advanced technologies as support for its view. Source
  • U.S. stable, Brazil and Europe softer: Management described U.S. market conditions as stable and said it managed softer conditions in Brazil and Europe. Source

“Across our business, early order program trends, improving used-equipment inventories, and increasing customer adoption of our advanced technologies give us confidence that Deere is well positioned for long-term value creation.”

John C. May, chairman and chief executive officer

Full-year forecast direction

  • Net income forecast raised: Management raised its fiscal 2026 net income forecast from the prior range. Source
  • Construction equipment forecast raised: U.S. and Canada construction equipment industry was forecast higher, while compact construction equipment was unchanged. Source
  • Several ag and forestry forecasts lowered: Forecasts were lowered for South America tractors and combines, Europe agriculture, Global Forestry and Production & Precision Ag net sales. Source

Capital, cash and shareholder returns

  • Operating cash flow lower year on year: Nine-month operating cash flow was $3.250 billion against $3.464 billion, while purchases of property and equipment were $716 million against $852 million. Source
  • Buybacks lower, dividends higher: Nine-month share repurchases totaled $697 million against $1.136 billion; dividends paid were $1.316 billion against $1.282 billion. Source
  • Cash balance rose: Cash and cash equivalents were $8.928 billion at August 2, 2026, up from $8.276 billion at November 2, 2025. Source

Acquisitions and technology

  • Tenna acquisition completed in February: Tenna provides mixed-fleet equipment operations and asset tracking; the $439 million purchase was assigned to the Construction & Forestry segment. Source
  • Smaller technology buys added: Other small acquisitions to advance technology offerings cost $16 million combined and were assigned to the three equipment segments. Source

Tariffs and special items

  • Tariff recoveries booked this year: Recoveries were $110 million in the quarter and $382 million for nine months; the tariff impact by segment is primarily included in production costs. Source
  • Prior-year special items affect comparisons: Prior-year comparisons include special items, among them a $61 million pretax impairment of overseas battery assets in the third quarter of 2025. Source

Risks management discussed

  • Demand: Softer conditions in Brazil and Europe were discussed as conditions management had to manage this quarter. Source
  • Operational: Higher production costs and lower shipment volumes were cited as reasons for the Production & Precision Agriculture profit decline. Source
  • Demand: Industry sales for large agriculture in U.S. and Canada are forecast to fall, which bears on Production & Precision Agriculture volumes. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.