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CNX Resources Corp.: Q3 FY2025 earnings call

What management said about Q3 FY2025, from the documents filed with the SEC on 30 October 2025: press release. Guidance figures: 8 raised, 4 lowered, 4 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Net income fell to $202 million: Net income was $202.1 million against $432.5 million in Q2. Diluted EPS was $1.21 against $2.53. Source
  • Total production volumes declined: Total production was 161.3 Bcfe against 167.6 Bcfe in Q2. Average daily production was 1,753.3 MMcfe against 1,841.8 MMcfe. Source
  • Realized gas price was $2.57 per Mcf: Realized natural gas price was $2.57 per Mcf against $2.61 in Q2. NYMEX averaged $3.07 per MMBtu against $3.44. Source
  • Cash operating margin declined: Cash operating margin was 62% against 65% in Q2. Adjusted EBITDA was $296 million against $330 million. Source
  • Free cash flow was $226 million: Free cash flow was $226 million in Q3, against $188 million in Q2 and $100 million in Q1. Source
  • Share repurchases rose to $182 million: Purchases of common stock were $182.4 million in Q3, against $115.7 million in Q2. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDAX guidance lowered: 2025 Adjusted EBITDAX guidance lowered to $1,200-1,225 million from $1,225-1,275 million. Source
  • Free cash flow guidance raised: Free cash flow guidance raised to about $640 million from about $575 million. The asset sales assumption rose to about $115 million from about $50 million. Source

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Production volumes Source2025E620 - 625 BcfeRaised from 615 - 620 Bcfe
Liquids share of production Source2025E~7% - ~8%Kept
Natural gas hedged Source2025E84%Lowered from 85%
NYMEX natural gas price, open volumes Source2025E$3.33 per MMBtuLowered from $3.59 per MMBtu
Natural gas differential, open volumes Source2025E($0.62) per MMBtuRaised from ($0.67) per MMBtu
NGL realized price Source2025E~$21.00 per BblKept
Adjusted EBITDAX Source2025E$1,200 - $1,225 millionLowered from $1,225 - $1,275 million
Drilling and completions capital Source2025E$310 - $330 millionRaised from $300 - $325 million
Non-D&C capital Source2025E$160 - $165 millionRaised from $145 - $165 million
Discretionary capital Source2025E$5 millionLowered from $5 - $10 million
Total capital expenditures Source2025E$475 - $500 millionRaised from $450 - $500 million
Environmental attributes sales FCF impact Source2025E~$65 millionKept
Asset sales Source2025E~$115 millionRaised from ~$50 million
Free cash flow Source2025E~$640 millionRaised from ~$575 million
Free cash flow per share Source2025E~$4.75Raised from ~$4.07
Wells turned in line Source2025E34Kept

What changed from last quarter

  • Guidance raised: Free cash flow guidance raised to about $640 million from about $575 million, with expected asset sales raised to about $115 million from about $50 million. Source
  • Guidance lowered: Adjusted EBITDAX guidance lowered to $1,200-1,225 million from $1,225-1,275 million. Source
  • Guidance raised: Production volume guidance raised to 620-625 Bcfe from 615-620 Bcfe. Source
  • Guidance raised: Total capital expenditure range raised to $475-500 million from $450-500 million. Source
  • Guidance lowered: NYMEX assumption for open volumes lowered to $3.33 per MMBtu from $3.59. Source
  • New: Q3 adjusted EBITDAX excludes a $57 million gain on a non-core asset sale. Source

Results and earnings

  • Net income fell to $202 million: Net income was $202.1 million against $432.5 million in Q2. Diluted EPS was $1.21 against $2.53. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDAX declined from Q2: Adjusted EBITDAX was $298 million against $332 million in Q2. The Q3 figure removes unrealized derivative gains and a non-core asset sale gain. Source
  • Adjusted net income lower than Q2: Adjusted net income was $82 million against $100 million in Q2. Source
  • Total revenue fell on smaller derivative gain: Total revenue and other operating income was $583.8 million against $962.4 million in Q2, both quarters including derivative gains. Source

Production and activity

  • Total production volumes declined: Total production was 161.3 Bcfe against 167.6 Bcfe in Q2. Average daily production was 1,753.3 MMcfe against 1,841.8 MMcfe. Source
  • Shale gas volumes fell: Shale sales volumes were 139.2 Bcf against 146.9 Bcf in Q2. CBM sales volumes were 9.7 Bcf against 9.4 Bcf. Source
  • NGL volumes rose, oil flat: NGL sales were 12.0 Bcfe against 11.1 Bcfe in Q2. Oil and condensate sales were 0.3 Bcfe against 0.2 Bcfe. Source
  • Quarter's activity summary shows no wells: The Q3 activity summary lists no TD, frac or TIL figures. One rig at period end sits in the CPA Utica row. Source

Realized prices and differentials

  • Realized gas price was $2.57 per Mcf: Realized natural gas price was $2.57 per Mcf against $2.61 in Q2. NYMEX averaged $3.07 per MMBtu against $3.44. Source
  • Average gas sales price fell: Average natural gas sales price was $2.43 per Mcfe against $2.84 in Q2. Including cash settlements, the combined average was $2.62 against $2.68. Source
  • Oil and NGL prices moved apart: Oil and condensate averaged $9.49 per Mcfe against $8.74 in Q2. NGLs averaged $3.04 per Mcfe against $3.58. Source
  • Gas differential little changed: Average gas differential to NYMEX was ($0.77) per MMBtu against ($0.76) in Q2, with the BTU conversion factor at 0.12. Source

Production unit costs

  • Total production cost per Mcfe rose: Total production costs were $1.71 per Mcfe against $1.67 in Q2. DD&A was $0.89 against $0.88, and transportation was $0.60 against $0.58. Source
  • Cash production costs rose slightly: Cash production costs before DD&A were $0.82 per Mcfe against $0.79 in Q2. Source
  • Lease operating expense per Mcfe rose: LOE was $0.17 per Mcfe against $0.16 in Q2. LOE in dollars was $27.1 million. Source

Margins and cash margins

  • Operating margin rose to 42%: Operating margin was 42% against 34% in Q2. Adjusted EBIT was $199 million against $172 million. Source
  • Cash operating margin declined: Cash operating margin was 62% against 65% in Q2. Adjusted EBITDA was $296 million against $330 million. Source
  • Fully burdened cash margin narrowed: Fully burdened cash margin before DD&A was $1.53 per Mcfe against $1.63 in Q2, with fully burdened cash costs of $1.09 against $1.05. Source

Derivatives and hedge book

  • Derivative gain was $132 million: Gain on commodity derivative instruments was $132 million in Q3, of which $22 million was realized and $110 million unrealized. Q2 was $421 million. Source
  • Fully covered 2026 hedge volume: As of 10/15/2025, NYMEX-plus-basis volumes were 434.1 Bcf for 2026 at $2.70 per Mcf, and 346.1 Bcf for 2027 at $3.27 per Mcf. Source

Capital spending and investing

  • Capital expenditures fell from Q2: Q3 capital expenditures were $75.5 million against $113.6 million in Q2. Source
  • Asset sale proceeds rose: Proceeds from asset sales were $67.8 million in Q3, against $20.8 million in Q2. Source
  • Net investing outflow was small: Net cash used in investing activities was $7.8 million in Q3, against $94.9 million in Q2. Source

Cash flow and shareholder returns

  • Free cash flow was $226 million: Free cash flow was $226 million in Q3, against $188 million in Q2 and $100 million in Q1. Source
  • Operating cash flow eased: Net cash provided by operating activities was $233.8 million against $282.5 million in Q2. Source
  • Share repurchases rose to $182 million: Purchases of common stock were $182.4 million in Q3, against $115.7 million in Q2. Source
  • Net debt declined: Net debt was $2,560 million at 30-Sep-25, against $2,600 million at 30-Jun-25. Total long-term debt was $2,577 million. Source

Full-year guidance update

  • Production guidance raised: 2025 production guidance raised to 620-625 Bcfe from 615-620 Bcfe. Liquids share kept at about 7% to 8%. Source
  • Adjusted EBITDAX guidance lowered: 2025 Adjusted EBITDAX guidance lowered to $1,200-1,225 million from $1,225-1,275 million. Source
  • Free cash flow guidance raised: Free cash flow guidance raised to about $640 million from about $575 million. The asset sales assumption rose to about $115 million from about $50 million. Source
  • Hedged share and gas price lowered: Hedged share of natural gas lowered to 84% from 85%. NYMEX for open volumes lowered to $3.33 from $3.59. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Production volumes Source161.3 Bcfe; 1,753.3 MMcfe per day
Realized prices Source$2.57 per Mcf natural gas
Capital expenditure Source$75.5 million
Unit costs Source$1.71 per Mcfe total production costs
Shareholder returns Source$182.4 million share purchases

Risks management discussed

  • Financial: Projected realized hedging losses, excluding anticipated hedging activity, are $128.0 million for CY2025 and $290.2 million for CY2026. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.