greeksoup/ stock research

Black Hills Corp.: Q4 FY2025 earnings call

What management said about Q4 FY2025, from the documents filed with the SEC on 4 February 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 1 raised, 4 new, 2 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • 2025 adjusted EPS at guidance midpoint: Full-year 2025 adjusted EPS was $4.10 and GAAP EPS was $3.98, against $3.91 in 2024. Management said 2025 delivered the midpoint of the earnings guidance range. Source
  • 2026 adjusted EPS guided to $4.25 to $4.45: Initial 2026 guidance of $4.25 to $4.45 reflects 6% growth over 2025, excluding merger-related costs and mark-to-market adjustments. Source
  • Data center pipeline exceeds 3 GW: The large-load pipeline is above 3 GW, with 600 MW in the five-year plan by 2030, driven by Microsoft expansion and a Meta AI data center served through a Wyoming tariff. Source
  • Three rate reviews added $52 million: Three rate reviews completed in 2025 added more than $52 million of new annual revenue, according to the CEO. Source
  • Five-year capital plan of $4.7 billion: The company plans to invest $4.7 billion of capital from 2026 through 2030, focused on safe, reliable service and growth. Source
  • Merger expected to close in 2026: The transaction is expected to close in the second half of 2026, subject to satisfaction or waiver of certain closing conditions. Guidance excludes the merger. Source

“We expect to deliver in the upper half of our long-term 4% to 6% EPS growth target off the 2023 guidance midpoint of $3.75.”

Linn Evans, president and CEO of Black Hills Corp.

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Adjusted EPS Source2026$4.25 to $4.45New
Operations and maintenance expense Source2026increase of approximately 3.5% off 2025 of $580 millionNew
Equity issuance Source2026$50 million to $70 millionNew
Effective tax rate Sourcefull year 2026approximately 14%New
Long-term adjusted EPS growth Sourcelong-term, off 2023upper half of 4% to 6%
Capital plan Source2026 through 2030$4.7 billionKept
Data center load in five-year plan Sourceby 2030600 MWRaised from 500 MW by 2029
Data center pipeline Sourcenot statedmore than 3 GWKept

What changed from last quarter

  • New guidance: Initiated 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $4.25 to $4.45, excluding the pending NorthWestern merger. Source
  • Ended: 2025 adjusted EPS guidance of $4.00 to $4.20 ended; the company reported $4.10, the midpoint of that range. Source
  • Guidance raised: Five-year data center load raised to 600 MW by 2030 from 500 MW by 2029. Source
  • New: Nebraska Gas rate settlement approved Dec. 9; the prior release reported it as pending commission approval. Source
  • New: Merger application to the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission filed in December 2025; the prior release had anticipated filing in the fourth quarter of 2025. Source
  • New: Form S-4 and joint proxy statement filed with the SEC in January 2026. Source
  • New: Quarterly dividend set at $0.703 per share, up from $0.676 in the prior release. Source

Results and growth drivers

  • 2025 adjusted EPS at guidance midpoint: Full-year 2025 adjusted EPS was $4.10 and GAAP EPS was $3.98, against $3.91 in 2024. Management said 2025 delivered the midpoint of the earnings guidance range. Source
  • New rates lifted earnings by $0.95: New rates and rider recovery contributed $0.95 per share, more than offsetting higher operating expenses and financing and depreciation costs. Source
  • 2026 adjusted EPS guided to $4.25 to $4.45: Initial 2026 guidance of $4.25 to $4.45 reflects 6% growth over 2025, excluding merger-related costs and mark-to-market adjustments. Source
  • Fourth-quarter adjusted EPS $1.41: Fourth-quarter adjusted EPS was $1.41 against $1.37 a year earlier, and GAAP EPS was $1.39 against $1.37. Net income available for common stock was $104.9 million. Source

Segments and regions

  • Electric operating income fell $10.5 million: Electric Utilities operating income declined on higher operating expenses, unplanned generation outages, lower transmission revenues and unfavorable weather. Electric revenue was $942.8 million for the year. Source
  • Gas operating income rose $49.5 million: Gas Utilities operating income rose on new rates and rider recovery from four rate reviews and favorable weather. Gas revenue was $1,382.8 million for the year. Source
  • Corporate loss widened on merger costs: Corporate and Other operating loss increased $4.6 million on $9.9 million of merger-related costs, partly offset by a one-time favorable true-up from the captive insurance cell consolidation. Source

“We invested nearly $900 million of capital for the needs of our customers, and successfully executed our financing plan”

Linn Evans, president and CEO of Black Hills Corp.

Customers and load growth

  • Wyoming peak demand up 21%: Wyoming Electric recorded four all-time peak loads in 2025, the highest 379 MW on June 20, up 21% over the 2024 peak and the 19th consecutive year of rising demand. Source
  • Data center pipeline exceeds 3 GW: The large-load pipeline is above 3 GW, with 600 MW in the five-year plan by 2030, driven by Microsoft expansion and a Meta AI data center served through a Wyoming tariff. Source
  • Large-load talks under confidentiality: Management said it is making progress in negotiations for large-load requests with high-quality partners, under non-disclosure agreements. Source

Rate reviews and regulatory approvals

  • Three rate reviews added $52 million: Three rate reviews completed in 2025 added more than $52 million of new annual revenue, according to the CEO. Source
  • Nebraska Gas settlement approved: The Nebraska Gas settlement adds $23.9 million of annual revenue at a 9.85% return on equity; final rates took effect Jan. 1, 2026. Source
  • Kansas Gas settlement adds $10.8 million: The Kansas Gas black box settlement provides about $10.8 million of new annual revenue, with rates effective Aug. 1, 2025. Source
  • Colorado Electric revenue raised to $17.5 million: A Colorado Electric rate decision on rehearing increased new annual revenue to $17.5 million from $17 million. Source
  • Wyoming wildfire law enacted: Wyoming enacted wildfire mitigation legislation giving liability protections to utilities that comply with commission-approved plans. Wyoming Electric expects plan approval in March 2026. Source

“Our pipeline exceeds 3 GW, with 600 MW in our five-year plan by 2030 driven by Microsoft’s ongoing expansion and Meta’s new AI data center to be served with minimal capital investment through our innovative tariff in Wyoming”

Linn Evans, president and CEO of Black Hills Corp.

Costs, outages and operations

  • Coal availability fell sharply: Coal availability was 69.4% in the fourth quarter against 97.2% a year earlier; total fleet availability was 82.1% against 88.2%. Unplanned outages hit Wygen III, Pueblo Airport and Busch Ranch. Source
  • Operations expense rose to $590 million: Operations and maintenance expense was $589.8 million for 2025, against $557.0 million in 2024, and $137.6 million for the quarter against $136.2 million. Source
  • Net interest expense up $18.4 million: Net interest expense rose $18.4 million for 2025 on higher long-term debt rates and CP Program borrowings, partly offset by AFUDC debt tied to Lange II and Ready Wyoming. Source

Weather and customer demand

  • Weather ran below normal: Electric combined heating degree days were 17% below normal in the fourth quarter and 4% below for 2025; gas combined ran 12% below in the quarter and 5% below for the year. Source
  • Industrial sales rose on Wyoming tariffs: Industrial revenue and sales rose for the quarter and year, mainly from Wyoming Electric LPCS Tariff and BCIS Tariff customers. Source
  • Total electric energy rose: Total electric energy was 8,143.6 GWh for 2025, against 7,625.5 GWh in 2024, and 2,061.4 GWh for the quarter against 1,952.9 GWh. Source

Capital, financing and shareholder returns

  • Nearly $900 million invested in 2025: Management said the company invested nearly $900 million of capital in 2025 and carried out its financing plan. Source
  • Five-year capital plan of $4.7 billion: The company plans to invest $4.7 billion of capital from 2026 through 2030, focused on safe, reliable service and growth. Source
  • Ready Wyoming recovery through rider: About $300 million of Ready Wyoming transmission investment is recovered through the Wyoming Transmission Rider as of Jan. 1, 2026; about $50 million of distribution investment is expected in base rates. Source
  • $450 million notes issued in October: The company sold $450 million of 4.55% notes due 2031 and used proceeds to repay $300 million of notes due Jan. 15, 2026. It issued 3.7 million shares for $220 million in 2025. Source
  • Dividend rises for 56th year: The quarterly dividend of $0.703 per share is part of 56 consecutive years of increases, the second-longest track record in the electric and natural gas industry. Source

NorthWestern Energy merger

  • Tax-free all-stock merger announced: Black Hills and NorthWestern Energy announced a tax-free, all-stock merger on Aug. 19, 2025, and filed applications in Montana, Nebraska and South Dakota in October 2025. Source
  • FERC application and S-4 filed: The FERC application was filed in December 2025, and the Form S-4 and joint proxy statement were filed in January 2026. Source
  • Shareholder votes set for April 2: Special meetings of shareholders of both companies to vote on the merger are scheduled for April 2, 2026. Source
  • Merger expected to close in 2026: The transaction is expected to close in the second half of 2026, subject to satisfaction or waiver of certain closing conditions. Guidance excludes the merger. Source
  • Merger costs of $0.12 per share: Merger-related costs of $0.12 per share in 2025 were excluded from adjusted EPS of $4.10. Source

Coming up, as management said on 4 February 2026

  • Merger shareholder votes April 2: Shareholders of both companies are scheduled to vote on the NorthWestern merger. Source
  • Merger expected to close: Closing is expected in the second half of 2026, subject to certain closing conditions. Source
  • Colorado solar agreement in Q1: The company expects to sign an agreement for a 200 MW solar power purchase agreement in the first quarter of 2026. Source
  • Wyoming wildfire plan approval expected: Wyoming Electric anticipates approval of its Wildfire Mitigation Plan in March 2026. Source
  • Kansas abbreviated rate case in Q1: Kansas Gas is approved to file an abbreviated case in the first quarter of 2026 covering capital placed in service through Dec. 31, 2025. Source
  • Lange II in service in Q4 2026: The 99 MW Lange II gas-fired generation project is expected to be in service in the fourth quarter of 2026. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Rate cases Sourcethree rate reviews completed in 2025, more than $52 million of new annual revenue
Capital plan Source$4.7 billion, 2026 through 2030
Customer growth Source1.37 million natural gas and electric utility customers in eight states
Load growth SourceWyoming Electric all-time peak of 379 MW, up 21% over 2024
EPS growth target Sourceupper half of 4% to 6% long-term adjusted EPS growth off 2023

Risks management discussed

  • Operational: Unplanned outages reduced availability at coal and wind units, and Electric Utilities operating income fell in 2025 as a result. Source
  • Operational: An Emergency Public Safety Power Shutoff program was established across all three electric utilities to manage wildfire risk. Source
  • Regulatory: The merger needs approvals from commissions in Montana, Nebraska and South Dakota, along with FERC, before it can close. Source
  • Demand: Gas retail customer usage was unfavorable in the fourth quarter, partly offsetting the gain from new rates. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Met: Management said the company achieved the midpoint of its 2025 earnings guidance; the prior release had guided 2025 adjusted EPS to $4.00 to $4.20. Source
  • On track: The prior release said the project was on track for year-end 2025 service; the current release says it was energized on schedule. Source
  • Met: Final Nebraska Gas rates took effect on the date the prior release had set. Source
  • Not stated: The prior release said second half of 2026; the current release narrows the expected in-service timing to the fourth quarter of 2026. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.