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Astrana Health, Inc.: Q4 FY2025 earnings call

What management said about Q4 FY2025, from the documents filed with the SEC on 2 March 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 1 raised, 12 new. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Full-year revenue up 56%: Full-year total revenue was $3,181.8 million, up 56% from $2,034.5 million, reported at the higher end of prior guidance. Source
  • Full-year Adjusted EBITDA up 21%: Full-year Adjusted EBITDA was $205.4 million, up 21% from $170.4 million; fourth-quarter Adjusted EBITDA was $52.5 million, up 50%. Source
  • Care Partners revenue up 55%: Care Partners revenue was $3,022.6 million, up 55% from $1,949.0 million, the largest segment by revenue. Source
  • First-quarter and full-year ranges issued: Ranges were issued for first-quarter 2026 and full-year 2026 total revenue and Adjusted EBITDA; no 2026 ranges appeared in the prior release. Source
  • Free cash flow for the year: Free cash flow was $104.5 million for the year, against $44.2 million in 2024; the company defines it as operating cash flow less purchases of property and equipment. Source
  • Material weakness expected in controls: A material weakness in internal control over financial reporting is expected, relating to acquisition and purchase accounting processes. Source
  • Form 12b-25 extension of 10-K: The company will file Form 12b-25 to extend the deadline for its 2025 Form 10-K. Source

“Astrana delivered record revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and free cash flow in 2025, demonstrating the strength and predictability of our fully delegated, payer-agnostic care model and AI-enabled technology platform in a dynamic operating environment”

Brandon Sim, President and Chief Executive Officer

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Total revenue Sourcethree months ending March 31, 2026$900 million to $1,000 millionNew
Adjusted EBITDA Sourcethree months ending March 31, 2026$60 million to $70 millionNew
Total revenue Sourceyear ending December 31, 2026$3,800 million to $4,100 millionNew
Adjusted EBITDA Sourceyear ending December 31, 2026$250 million to $280 millionNew
Net income Sourceyear ending December 31, 2026$54,000 to $74,000 (in thousands)New
Interest expense Sourceyear ending December 31, 2026$51,000 to $55,000 (in thousands)New
Provision for income taxes Sourceyear ending December 31, 2026$38,000 to $44,000 (in thousands)New
Depreciation and amortization Sourceyear ending December 31, 2026$65,000 (in thousands)New
EBITDA Sourceyear ending December 31, 2026$208,000 to $238,000 (in thousands)New
Income from equity method investments Sourceyear ending December 31, 2026(4,000) (in thousands)New
Other, net Sourceyear ending December 31, 2026$7,000 (in thousands)New
Stock-based compensation Sourceyear ending December 31, 2026$39,000 (in thousands)New
Share repurchase program maximum Sourceopen-ended; no expiration date$100 million maximum aggregateRaised from $50 million

What changed from last quarter

  • New guidance: First-quarter 2026 and full-year 2026 total revenue and Adjusted EBITDA ranges are new in this release. Source
  • Guidance raised: Maximum aggregate repurchase authorization raised from $50 million to $100 million. Source
  • New: Expected material weakness in internal control over financial reporting, not in the prior release. Source
  • Ended: Full-year 2025 guidance ended with reported full-year 2025 results. Source

Full-year and fourth-quarter results

  • Full-year revenue up 56%: Full-year total revenue was $3,181.8 million, up 56% from $2,034.5 million, reported at the higher end of prior guidance. Source
  • Fourth-quarter revenue up 43%: Fourth-quarter total revenue was $950.5 million, up 43% from $665.2 million. Source
  • Full-year Adjusted EBITDA up 21%: Full-year Adjusted EBITDA was $205.4 million, up 21% from $170.4 million; fourth-quarter Adjusted EBITDA was $52.5 million, up 50%. Source
  • Full-year net income and diluted EPS: Full-year net income attributable to Astrana was $22.5 million, with diluted EPS of $0.46; fourth-quarter figures were $6.0 million and $0.12. Source
  • Adjusted EPS for the year: Adjusted EPS, diluted, was $2.20 for the year against $1.94 in 2024, and $0.54 in the fourth quarter. Source

Segment revenue and operating income

  • Care Partners revenue up 55%: Care Partners revenue was $3,022.6 million, up 55% from $1,949.0 million, the largest segment by revenue. Source
  • Care Delivery and Enablement revenue growth: Care Delivery revenue was $250.7 million, up 83%; Care Enablement revenue was $246.7 million, up 59%. Source
  • Segment operating income and losses: Care Partners income from operations was $155.0 million, up 10%; Care Delivery reported an operating loss of $2.0 million; Care Enablement income was $39.7 million, up 117%. Source

“Our disciplined approach to risk, strong physician alignment, and technology-enabled clinical infrastructure drove consistent performance while creating measurable value for patients through improved outcomes, greater access, and lower total cost of care.”

Brandon Sim, President and Chief Executive Officer

Revenue mix by line

  • Capitation is the largest revenue line: Capitation, net was $2,924.3 million for the year, against $1,856.8 million in 2024; risk pool settlements and incentives were $86.2 million. Source
  • Management and fee-for-service revenue growth: Management fee income was $30.4 million, against $14.0 million; fee-for-service, net was $112.6 million, against $62.3 million. Source

Costs and margins

  • Adjusted EBITDA margin for the year: Adjusted EBITDA margin was 6% for the year against 8% in 2024, and 6% for the fourth quarter against 5% a year earlier. Source
  • Cost of services rose with revenue: Cost of services excluding depreciation and amortization was $2,840.2 million, against $1,763.2 million; general and administrative expenses were $217.3 million. Source
  • Depreciation and amortization rose: Depreciation and amortization was $45.7 million for the year, against $27.9 million in 2024, and $16.4 million in the fourth quarter. Source
  • Stock-based compensation for the year: Share-based compensation was $38.6 million for the year, against $34.5 million in 2024. Source

“As we move through 2026, with Prospect Health integration ahead of schedule, we are confident in our ability to deliver on guidance that reflects approximately 24% revenue growth and 29% adjusted EBITDA growth at the midpoint.”

Brandon Sim, President and Chief Executive Officer

2026 guidance basis and disclosure

  • First-quarter and full-year ranges issued: Ranges were issued for first-quarter 2026 and full-year 2026 total revenue and Adjusted EBITDA; no 2026 ranges appeared in the prior release. Source
  • Guidance rests on existing business: Management states the ranges rest on the existing business, the current view of existing market conditions, and assumptions. Source
  • No Q1 EBITDA reconciliation provided: No quantitative reconciliation of first-quarter 2026 EBITDA to GAAP net income was given, because certain line items cannot be calculated without unreasonable effort. Source

Acquisitions and strategy

  • Acquisition payments and goodwill: Payments for business and asset acquisitions, net of cash acquired, were $548.6 million for the year; goodwill was $863.9 million at year end. Source
  • Payer-agnostic model and AI platform: Management describes its care model as fully delegated and payer-agnostic, with an AI-enabled technology platform underneath. Source
  • Prospect Health integration ahead of schedule: Management says Prospect Health integration is ahead of schedule as the company moves through 2026. Source

Capital, cash and shareholder returns

  • Free cash flow for the year: Free cash flow was $104.5 million for the year, against $44.2 million in 2024; the company defines it as operating cash flow less purchases of property and equipment. Source
  • Year-end cash balance: Cash and cash equivalents were $429.5 million at year end, against $288.5 million a year earlier. Source
  • Debt borrowings and repayments: Borrowings on debt were $1,119.3 million and repayments were $495.3 million for the year; long-term debt, net of current portion, was $990.9 million at year end. Source
  • Fourth-quarter share repurchases: The company repurchased 633,844 shares in the fourth quarter, and $35.9 million remained available under the plan at year end. Source
  • Dividend paid in stock: A $21.9 million dividend was paid in stock during the year, with cash dividends of $7.9 million. Source
  • Noncontrolling interest in APC: Noncontrolling interest in Allied Physicians of California was a $235.0 million deficit at year end, against $202.6 million a year earlier. Source

Reporting controls and filing timing

  • Material weakness expected in controls: A material weakness in internal control over financial reporting is expected, relating to acquisition and purchase accounting processes. Source
  • Form 12b-25 extension of 10-K: The company will file Form 12b-25 to extend the deadline for its 2025 Form 10-K. Source
  • No restatement of prior periods: Management says the expected weakness concerns timing and documentation of control procedures, with no misstatement and no restatement of prior periods. Source

Coming up, as management said on 2 March 2026

  • 2025 Form 10-K filing: Management expects to file the 2025 Form 10-K within the fifteen-day extension period under Rule 12b-25. Source
  • Repurchases after 10-K filing: Management says it may continue repurchases under the program after the 2025 Form 10-K is filed. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Providers supported Sourcemore than 20,000
Patients in value-based care arrangements Sourceover 1.6 million

Risks management discussed

  • Financial: Remediation of the expected weakness relies on added accounting resources; management says investments target faster remediation. Source
  • External: Management describes the operating environment as dynamic, with guidance based on current market conditions and assumptions. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Ahead: Management says the Prospect Health integration is ahead of schedule. Source
  • Met: Full-year 2025 total revenue was reported at the higher end of the guidance range. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.