greeksoup/ stock research

Aemetis, Inc.: Q4 FY2025 earnings call

What management said about Q4 FY2025, from the documents filed with the SEC on 12 March 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 1 new, 1 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Fourth-quarter revenue and credits rose: Revenues and production tax credits were $53.7 million in the fourth quarter, up from $47.0 million a year earlier, the company reported. Source
  • Full-year revenue and credits reached $208M: Full-year revenues and production tax credits were $208.0 million, compared with $268 million of revenue in 2024. Production tax credits began in January 2025. Source
  • Biogas segment reported net income: The Aemetis Biogas segment reported net income of $12.2 million in Q4 2025 and annual segment net income of $6.9 million. Source
  • India biodiesel revenue fell sharply: India Biodiesel revenue decreased $63.2 million, which the company attributed to delays in follow-on OMC tender sales. Source
  • Fourth-quarter gross profit turned positive: Gross profit was $7.7 million in the fourth quarter, compared with a gross loss of $2.0 million a year earlier, the company reported. Source
  • Capital investment rose 28%: Capital investments rose 28% to $26.0 million, supporting dairy RNG expansion and ethanol plant energy efficiency upgrades. Source
  • MVR system contract signed at Keyes: During the year the company signed an agreement with NPL Construction to install a mechanical vapor recompression system at the Keyes plant, which management said reduces natural gas use and lowers carbon intensity. Source

“With RNG production scaling, ethanol plant efficiency improvements underway, and federal clean fuel incentives beginning to be monetized, we believe Aemetis is positioned for meaningful growth in revenue and cash flow as we move through 2026”

Eric McAfee, Chairman and CEO

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Ethanol plant cash flow from operations (MVR upgrade) Sourceannual, after completion in 2026approximately $32 million annuallyKept
California ethanol market growth Sourcenot stated50%New

What changed from last quarter

  • New: The company signed a $27 million agreement with NPL to build H2S and compression units for 15 new dairy digesters. Source
  • New: India biodiesel sales resumed at the end of December 2025 after a follow-on offer began, which management said appeared to end the program's structural challenges. Source
  • New: Management cited federal policy support in the One Big Beautiful Bill, which it said is now being implemented. Source

Results and growth drivers

  • Fourth-quarter revenue and credits rose: Revenues and production tax credits were $53.7 million in the fourth quarter, up from $47.0 million a year earlier, the company reported. Source
  • Full-year revenue and credits reached $208M: Full-year revenues and production tax credits were $208.0 million, compared with $268 million of revenue in 2024. Production tax credits began in January 2025. Source
  • Fourth-quarter net loss narrowed: The net loss was $5.3 million in the fourth quarter of 2025, compared with a net loss of $16.2 million a year earlier. Source
  • Full-year net loss was $77.0M: The net loss for 2025 was $77.0 million, compared with $87.5 million in 2024, according to the company. Source

Segments and regions

  • Biogas segment reported net income: The Aemetis Biogas segment reported net income of $12.2 million in Q4 2025 and annual segment net income of $6.9 million. Source
  • Dairy RNG gross profit rose: The Dairy Renewable Natural Gas segment posted $9.6 million of gross profit in 2025, against $5.4 million in 2024. Source
  • California ethanol revenue fell on grind: California Ethanol revenue ended 2025 $8.5 million lower than in 2024, which management attributed to lower production from lower grind levels. Source
  • India biodiesel revenue fell sharply: India Biodiesel revenue decreased $63.2 million, which the company attributed to delays in follow-on OMC tender sales. Source

“Revenues for the full year of 2025 were $197.6 million plus production tax credit income of $10.4 million for total income of $208.0 million”

Todd Waltz, Chief Financial Officer

Production, prices and volumes

  • Ethanol selling price rose: The average ethanol selling price was $2.01 a gallon in the fourth quarter of 2025, up from $1.93 a year earlier. Source
  • Biogas sales volume in fourth quarter: The Biogas segment sold 108,000 MMBtu in the fourth quarter, contributing $10.5 million of revenue and production tax credits. Source
  • Dairy digester network produced RNG: Twelve operating digesters produced about 405,000 MMBtu of renewable natural gas in 2025, and Q4 dairy RNG production rose 61% year over year. Source

Costs and margins

  • Fourth-quarter gross profit turned positive: Gross profit was $7.7 million in the fourth quarter, compared with a gross loss of $2.0 million a year earlier, the company reported. Source
  • Lower corn cost reduced cost of goods: Cost of goods sold fell to $45.9 million from $49.0 million, which management attributed to the lower cost of corn and lower corn grind. Source
  • Overhead costs declined year over year: Selling, general and administrative expenses fell to $10.2 million in the fourth quarter from $11.4 million a year earlier. Source
  • Operating loss narrowed sharply: The operating loss was $2.5 million in the fourth quarter, compared with $13.5 million a year earlier. Source

“We are pleased to see policy support from the White House and Congress in the One Big Beautiful Bill that is now being implemented”

Eric McAfee, Chairman and CEO

Demand and India biodiesel

  • India biodiesel sales fell to $600K: India biodiesel sales were $600 thousand in the fourth quarter, down from $3.0 million a year earlier, as the program's delays continued. Source
  • India plant ran near 10% capacity: The India biodiesel plant generated $29.7 million of revenue in 2025 while using about 10% of its 80 million gallon capacity. Source
  • India demand supported by mandates: Management described India as a large and growing renewable fuels market, supported by government blending mandates and expanding fuel demand. Source

Capital, cash and tax credits

  • Capital investment rose 28%: Capital investments rose 28% to $26.0 million, supporting dairy RNG expansion and ethanol plant energy efficiency upgrades. Source
  • Year-end cash rose to $4.9M: Cash at year-end 2025 was $4.9 million, compared with $898 thousand at year-end 2024. Source
  • Current debt rose to $279M: The current portion of long-term debt was $279.1 million at December 31, 2025, against $63.7 million a year earlier. Source
  • Tax credit sales totaled $18.0M: The income tax benefit reflected tax credit sales of $18.0 million in 2025 and $12.3 million in 2024. Source

Strategy, policy and leadership

  • MVR system contract signed at Keyes: During the year the company signed an agreement with NPL Construction to install a mechanical vapor recompression system at the Keyes plant, which management said reduces natural gas use and lowers carbon intensity. Source
  • Sustainable aviation fuel and CO2 projects: The company is developing a sustainable aviation fuel plant and a CO2 sequestration project in California, using byproducts from ethanol production. Source
  • CARB approved seven RNG pathways: The California Air Resources Board approved seven new LCFS pathways for RNG, moving the average carbon intensity score from the negative 150 default to negative 380. Source
  • New India subsidiary CFO appointed: The company reported appointing a new chief financial officer with IPO experience for its India subsidiary. Source

Coming up, as management said on 12 March 2026

  • Earnings review call at 11:00 PT: Management said it would host an earnings review call at 11:00 a.m. Pacific time on the day the results were released. Source
  • India subsidiary listing targeted for 2026: The India subsidiary is targeting a public listing in 2026, according to management. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Biogas RNG sold, Q4 2025 Source108,000 MMBtu
Ethanol gallons sold, Q4 2025 Source14.3 million gallons
Operating dairy digesters and RNG produced, 2025 Source12 digesters; about 405,000 MMBtu
Dairy RNG production growth, Q4 year over year Source61%
India biodiesel plant capacity used, 2025 Sourceabout 10% of 80 million gallons

Risks management discussed

  • Regulatory: Management attributed the India biodiesel sales decline to structural challenges in the national biodiesel program. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.