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Allstate Corp.: Q4 FY2025 earnings call

What management said about Q4 FY2025, from the documents filed with the SEC on 4 February 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 1 raised, 1 new. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue and adjusted earnings rose: Fourth-quarter revenues were $17.3 billion, and adjusted net income per diluted share was $14.31 against $7.67. Full-year adjusted net income was $9.3 billion. Source
  • Property-Liability underwriting income rose: Property-Liability underwriting income was $4.0 billion against $1.8 billion, on earned premiums up 6.1% to $14.8 billion from higher average premiums and policy growth. Source
  • Reserve releases and lower catastrophes lowered ratio: The recorded combined ratio was 72.9 against 86.9; the underlying combined ratio was 76.6 against 83.0, with non-catastrophe reserve releases a factor. Source
  • Auto combined ratio improved sharply: Auto recorded combined ratio was 80.8 against 93.5; the underlying ratio was 87.6 against 93.0. Auto written premiums rose 3.1% to $9.4 billion. Source
  • Statutory surplus rose to $23.0 billion: Total estimated statutory surplus increased to $23.0 billion; the holding company ended the year with $7.5 billion of assets. Source
  • Shareholder returns exceeded $2.2 billion: Over $2.2 billion was returned to shareholders in 2025 through a combination of share repurchases and common shareholder dividends. Source
  • Premiums cut for 7.8 million customers: Premiums were reduced for 7.8 million auto and homeowners customers, by an average of 17%, through tailored coverage reviews to offset cost inflation. Source

“Allstate had a terrific year by better serving customers and making protection more affordable,”

Tom Wilson, who leads The Allstate Corporation

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Common dividend SourcePayable April 1, 2026$1.08 per shareRaised
Share repurchases SourceOver 24 months, starting after the existing $1.5 billion program$4.0 billionNew

What changed from last quarter

  • Guidance raised: Common dividend to rise to $1.08 per share, to be paid in the second quarter. Source
  • New guidance: Repurchase program of $4.0 billion to be initiated after the existing $1.5 billion program is completed. Source
  • New: Affordable, Simple, Connected auto now in 43 states (42 a quarter earlier); homeowners product in 31 states (24 a quarter earlier). Source

Results and growth drivers

  • Revenue and adjusted earnings rose: Fourth-quarter revenues were $17.3 billion, and adjusted net income per diluted share was $14.31 against $7.67. Full-year adjusted net income was $9.3 billion. Source
  • Policies in force reached 210.9 million: Total policies in force rose 3.0% to 210,937 thousand, excluding employer voluntary benefits and group health businesses sold. Source
  • Full-year return on equity improved: Adjusted net income return on common shareholders' equity was 38.3% for the twelve months, against 26.8%; the GAAP measure was 42.3%. Source
  • Full-year net income rose to $10.2 billion: Full-year net income applicable to common shareholders was $10.2 billion, against $4.6 billion in 2024. Source

Property-Liability underwriting and combined ratio

  • Property-Liability underwriting income rose: Property-Liability underwriting income was $4.0 billion against $1.8 billion, on earned premiums up 6.1% to $14.8 billion from higher average premiums and policy growth. Source
  • Catastrophe losses down sharply in quarter: Property-Liability catastrophe losses were $209 million in the quarter, down 49.0%; full-year catastrophe losses were $4,959 million, flat against 2024. Source
  • Reserve releases and lower catastrophes lowered ratio: The recorded combined ratio was 72.9 against 86.9; the underlying combined ratio was 76.6 against 83.0, with non-catastrophe reserve releases a factor. Source

“Over $2.2 billion was returned to shareholders in 2025, through a combination of share repurchases and common shareholder dividends.”

John Dugenske, Interim Chief Financial Officer and President, Investments and Corporate Strategy

Auto insurance results and new business

  • Auto combined ratio improved sharply: Auto recorded combined ratio was 80.8 against 93.5; the underlying ratio was 87.6 against 93.0. Auto written premiums rose 3.1% to $9.4 billion. Source
  • Auto prior-year reserve reestimates added benefit: Prior-year non-catastrophe reserve reestimates were $719 million, a 7.5 point benefit, from favorable severity in personal auto injury and physical damage. Source
  • Auto new business rose sharply: Auto policies in force grew 2.3% to 25,504 thousand, and new business rose 22.8% on expanded distribution, marketing, new products and rating plans. Source
  • Auto rate increases added premium impact: Auto rate increases produced an annualized premium impact of 0.2% in the fourth quarter, against 2.6% for 2025. Source

Homeowners insurance results

  • Homeowners underwriting profit increased: Homeowners underwriting profit was $1.8 billion against $1.1 billion, with a recorded combined ratio of 55.3 against 69.8 in the prior year quarter. Source
  • Homeowners catastrophe losses fell: Homeowners catastrophe losses were $170 million, down $145 million, with no hurricanes or tropical storms in the quarter. Source
  • Allstate-brand homeowners premiums rose: Allstate-brand average gross written premium rose 7.4%; homeowners policies in force grew 2.5% to 7,697 thousand, with National General legacy products declining. Source

Protection Services and Arity

  • Protection Plans led service revenue growth: Protection Services revenue rose 3.1% to $917 million; Protection Plans revenue rose 15.3% to $609 million, with international growth. Source
  • Arity revenue declined sharply: Arity revenue fell to $60 million from $121 million on lower lead generation revenue; its adjusted net loss was $12 million, against $3 million. Source
  • Roadside revenue grew with auto bundling: Roadside revenue rose 13.0% to $61 million, reflecting bundling with Affordable, Simple, Connected auto and higher third-party sales. Source

Investments and portfolio returns

  • Performance-based income declined: Performance-based investment income was $146 million, down $21 million, on lower private equity and real estate returns; quarterly volatility in reported results is expected. Source
  • Net gains and total return reported: Net gains on investments and derivatives were $73 million, against a $201 million loss; total return was 1.1% for the quarter and 5.8% for 2025. Source
  • Unrealized gains reduced in quarter: Unrealized net capital gains were $382 million pre-tax, down $70 million, as fixed income sales realized previously unrealized gains. Source

Capital, cash and shareholder returns

  • Statutory surplus rose to $23.0 billion: Total estimated statutory surplus increased to $23.0 billion; the holding company ended the year with $7.5 billion of assets. Source
  • Shareholder returns exceeded $2.2 billion: Over $2.2 billion was returned to shareholders in 2025 through a combination of share repurchases and common shareholder dividends. Source
  • Common shares outstanding declined: Common shares outstanding were 260.1 million, down 1.8% from 265.0 million a year earlier. Source

Customer pricing and reach

  • Premiums cut for 7.8 million customers: Premiums were reduced for 7.8 million auto and homeowners customers, by an average of 17%, through tailored coverage reviews to offset cost inflation. Source
  • Customer interactions and support totaled: Allstate improved 69 million customer interactions and provided nearly $38 billion in support and financial resources in 2025 when the unexpected happened. Source
  • Custom360 reached more states: Custom360 middle market auto and homeowners products for independent agents are available in 36 states, up from 34 a quarter earlier. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Combined ratio Source72.9 recorded for the fourth quarter; 85.2 for the full year
Net premiums written Source$14,572 million for the quarter; $59,546 million for the full year
Prior year reserve development Source5.4 points benefit for the quarter; 3.1 points for the full year
Catastrophe losses Source$209 million for the quarter; $4,959 million for the full year
Investment income Source$892 million net investment income for the quarter; $3,449 million for the full year
Book value per share Source$108.45 per common share

Risks management discussed

  • Financial: Performance-based investment returns are expected to vary between quarters, which management says is part of the diversified portfolio. Source
  • External: Catastrophe losses vary between periods by incidence and magnitude and can significantly affect the combined ratio. Source
  • Operational: Prior-year reserve reestimates reflect unexpected loss development and can raise or lower current-year net income. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Not stated: Third-quarter expectation that product rollout, advertising and distribution would drive growth; fourth-quarter status is not stated.
  • Not stated: Adjusted return on equity is provided to compare with the long-term goal; progress against the goal is not stated. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.