Assured Guaranty Ltd.: Q3 FY2026 earnings call

What management said about Q3 FY2026, from the documents filed with the SEC on 5 November 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 1 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

GAAP net income declined: Net income attributable to AGL was $78 million, or $1.75 per diluted share, against $105 million, or $2.18, a year earlier. Diluted shares fell to 44.3 million from 48.0 million. Source
Adjusted operating income declined: Adjusted operating income was $86 million, or $1.94 per diluted share, compared with $124 million, or $2.57, in third quarter 2025. Source
PVP reached $128 million: New business production value was $128 million for the quarter, against $91 million a year earlier. GWP was $127 million, against $75 million. Source
Nine-month GWP and PVP rose: For the nine months, GWP was $278 million and PVP was $280 million, against $195 million and $194 million a year earlier. Source
Loss development turned to benefit: Net economic loss development was a $27 million benefit, against a $48 million charge in second quarter 2026. Management attributed the benefit mainly to Brightline liquidity. Source
Equity per share fell on rates: Shareholders’ equity per share was $122.91, down from $125.32 at year-end 2025. Management attributed the decline mainly to unrealized investment losses from rising interest rates. Source
ABV per share rose: ABV per share rose to $192.60 from $186.43 at year-end 2025, aided by adjusted operating income, new business, share repurchases and the Assured Life Re acquisition, less dividends. Source

“we achieved the highest per-share levels of adjusted operating shareholders’ equity and adjusted book value in our history.”
Dominic Frederico, President and CEO

Guidance

Area	Period	Figure	Against last quarter
Share repurchase authorization Source	As of November 4, 2026	$121 million	Kept

Results and growth drivers

GAAP net income declined: Net income attributable to AGL was $78 million, or $1.75 per diluted share, against $105 million, or $2.18, a year earlier. Diluted shares fell to 44.3 million from 48.0 million. Source
Adjusted operating income declined: Adjusted operating income was $86 million, or $1.94 per diluted share, compared with $124 million, or $2.57, in third quarter 2025. Source
Loss expense benefit did not recur: Financial Guaranty adjusted operating income fell to $115 million from $145 million, mainly because loss expense moved to $1 million from a $31 million benefit a year earlier. Source
Scheduled premiums rose on fund finance: Scheduled net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues rose to $97 million from $93 million, mainly from fund finance and higher public finance premiums. Source

Segments and regions

Annuity Reinsurance contributed $1 million: Annuity Reinsurance adjusted operating income was $1 million, after $10 million of benefit expense that included $6 million for PRT and $4 million for MYGA interest. Source
Asset Management income declined: Asset management adjusted operating income was $2 million, against $3 million a year earlier. The segment includes the ownership interest in Sound Point. Source
Corporate division loss widened: Corporate division adjusted operating loss was $31 million, against $24 million, with interest expense of $24 million on holding company debt in both periods. Source
Non-U.S. public finance production rose: Non-U.S. public finance GWP rose $34 million and PVP $15 million, mainly an infrastructure transaction in France and a regulated energy deal in Spain. U.S. public finance GWP and PVP also rose. Source

“Additionally, Assured Guaranty’s financial guaranty loss expense during the third quarter of 2026 was just $1 million and our net economic loss development was a benefit of $27 million.”
Dominic Frederico, President and CEO

New business production and demand

PVP reached $128 million: New business production value was $128 million for the quarter, against $91 million a year earlier. GWP was $127 million, against $75 million. Source
Nine-month GWP and PVP rose: For the nine months, GWP was $278 million and PVP was $280 million, against $195 million and $194 million a year earlier. Source
Structured finance production increased: Global structured finance GWP and PVP increased compared with the prior year, mainly from fund finance, a commercial real estate balloon note guaranty and a non-U.S. auto lending facility. Source
U.S. public finance led by infrastructure: Infrastructure finance, transportation revenue and municipal utility revenue transactions were significant contributors to U.S. public finance results this quarter. Source

Loss development and credit

Loss development turned to benefit: Net economic loss development was a $27 million benefit, against a $48 million charge in second quarter 2026. Management attributed the benefit mainly to Brightline liquidity. Source
Brightline exposure is senior secured: The company insures 51% of Brightline’s senior revenue bonds, which are secured by a senior lien on Brightline’s assets. Source
Loss expense was $1 million: Loss expense was $1 million in total: public finance $1 million, U.S. RMBS a $1 million benefit and other structured finance $1 million. The RMBS benefit in 2025 was $26 million. Source
Expected loss to be paid fell: Net expected loss to be paid fell to $113 million from $192 million, after $27 million of net economic benefit and $52 million of net paid losses. Source

“All three markets, U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, and global structured finance, achieved significant year-over-year increases in both measures, with global structured finance doubling its GWP and PVP.”
Dominic Frederico, President and CEO

Investment income and alternatives

Investment yield and income rose: Financial Guaranty net investment income was $93 million and consolidated net investment income was $103 million. Pre-tax book yield rose to 5.00% from 4.80%. Source
Alternative investments totaled $922 million: Alternative investments totaled $922 million, of which $729 million sat in the Financial Guaranty segment, mainly CLO subordinated notes and fund investments. Source
Fund equity earnings declined: Equity in earnings of investees was $9 million, against $16 million a year earlier. Fund investments are reported on a one-quarter lag. Source

Book value and equity per share

Equity per share fell on rates: Shareholders’ equity per share was $122.91, down from $125.32 at year-end 2025. Management attributed the decline mainly to unrealized investment losses from rising interest rates. Source
ABV per share rose: ABV per share rose to $192.60 from $186.43 at year-end 2025, aided by adjusted operating income, new business, share repurchases and the Assured Life Re acquisition, less dividends. Source
Adjusted operating equity per share rose: Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity per share was $131.99, against $126.78 at year-end 2025. It excludes fair value adjustments not expected to produce economic gain or loss. Source

Capital returns and repurchases

Capital returned $27 million: Capital returned in third quarter 2026 was $27 million, comprising $10 million of share repurchases and $17 million of dividends. Source
Program has returned $6 billion: Year-to-date 2026 repurchases totaled $130 million, or 1.559 million shares at an average $83.70. None occurred from October 1 to November 4. Source
Planned capital uses reviewed quarterly: Management said it reviews planned uses of capital each quarter, which may include growth in financial guaranty and annuity reinsurance, a capital cushion and share repurchases. Source

Annuity reinsurance expansion

Entry into annuity reinsurance in January: The company entered annuity reinsurance on January 21, 2026 through the acquisition of Warwick Re Limited, which it renamed Assured Life Re. Source
Assured Life Re reserves and assets: Assured Life Re reinsures a PRT block with $459 million of reserves, supported by a $569 million asset portfolio. Its MYGA block carries a $248 million policyholder account value. Source
Funds withheld receivable of $267 million: MYGA assets sit in a funds withheld arrangement, with a receivable of $267 million, mainly mortgage and other asset-backed securities. Source
Hedges excluded from adjusted income: Freestanding hedges of currency, rate and inflation risk produced a $6 million fair value gain, which was excluded from adjusted operating income. Source

Coming up, as management said on 5 November 2026

Transaction lists to be posted: Early next week the company plans to post lists of third quarter 2026 U.S. public finance new issues and structured finance exposure at September 30, 2026. Source
Assured Guaranty Inc. documents when available: Assured Guaranty Inc.’s financial supplement and Fixed Income Presentation will be posted when available and furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K. Source
Equity investor presentation posted: The company is posting its September 30, 2026 Equity Investor Presentation on its presentations page. Source

Figures management reported

Figure	Reported
Prior-year reserve development Source	net economic loss development benefit of $27 million
Investment income Source	net investment income $103 million consolidated; $93 million Financial Guaranty segment
Book value per share Source	$122.91 shareholders’ equity; $131.99 adjusted operating; $192.60 ABV

Risks management discussed

Financial: Future buybacks depend on alternative capital uses, regulatory and rating agency capital, parent company cash availability and market conditions. Source
Financial: Equity in earnings of investees can move more than net investment income, because of mark-to-market changes on certain alternative investments. Source
Financial: Realized investment losses of $11 million came mainly from credit losses on CLO subordinated notes and corporate securities. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.

As filed with the SEC

Open the filing on EDGAR

Assured Guaranty Ltd. Reports Results for Third Quarter 2026

GAAP Highlights:
Net income attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. was $78 million, or $1.75 per share,for third quarter 2026.
Shareholders’ equity attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. per share was $122.91 as of September 30, 2026.
Gross written premiums (GWP) were $127 million for third quarter 2026.
Non-GAAP Highlights:
Adjusted operating income was $86 million, or $1.94 per share, for third quarter 2026.
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity per share and adjusted book value (ABV) per share were $131.99 and $192.60, respectively, as of September 30, 2026.
Present value of new business production (PVP) was $128 million for third quarter 2026.
Return of Capital to Shareholders:
Third quarter 2026 capital returned to shareholders was $27 million including share repurchases of $10 million and dividends of $17 million.

Hamilton, Bermuda, November 5, 2026 -- Assured Guaranty Ltd. (NYSE: AGO) (AGL and, together with its subsidiaries, Assured Guaranty or the Company) announced today its financial results for the three-month period ended September 30, 2026 (third quarter 2026).

Dominic Frederico, President and CEO, said: “Our strong new business production in the first nine months of 2026 demonstrated the success of our current growth strategy across our financial guaranty franchise, generating $278 million of GWP and $280 million of PVP. All three markets, U.S. public finance, non-U.S. public finance, and global structured finance, achieved significant year-over-year increases in both measures, with global structured finance doubling its GWP and PVP.

“Additionally, Assured Guaranty’s financial guaranty loss expense during the third quarter of 2026 was just $1 million and our net economic loss development was a benefit of $27 million.

“While our September 30 shareholders’ equity per share was impacted by unrealized losses in the investment portfolio due largely to the rising interest rate environment, we achieved the highest per-share levels of adjusted operating shareholders’ equity and adjusted book value in our history.”

(1) All per share information for net income and adjusted operating income is based on diluted shares.

(2) Please see “Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” at the end of this press release.

Summary Financial Results

	Quarter Ended
	September 30,
	2026	2025
GAAP
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL	$78	$105
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL per diluted share	$1.75	$2.18
Weighted average diluted shares	44.3	48.0
Non-GAAP
Adjusted operating income (loss)	$86	$124
Adjusted operating income per diluted share	$1.94	$2.57
Weighted average diluted shares	44.3	48.0
Components of total adjusted operating income (loss)
Financial Guaranty segment	$115	$145
Annuity Reinsurance segment	1	-
Asset Management segment	2	3
Corporate division	(31)	(24)
Other	(1)	-
Adjusted operating income (loss)	$86	$124

	As of
	September 30, 2026		December 31, 2025
	Amount	Per Share	Amount	Per Share
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL	$5,403	$122.91	$5,663	$125.32
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity	5,802	131.99	5,729	126.78
ABV	8,466	192.60	8,424	186.43
Common Shares Outstanding	44.0		45.2

(1) Generally accepted accounting principles in the United States of America.

(2) Please see “Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” at the end of this press release.

On a per share basis, shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL decreased to $122.91 as of September 30, 2026 from $125.32 as of December 31, 2025, primarily due to unrealized losses on the investment portfolio due largely to the rising interest rate environment. On a per share basis, ABV increased to $192.60 as of September 30, 2026 from $186.43 as of December 31, 2025, primarily due to adjusted operating income, new business production, share repurchases, and the accretive effect of the acquisition of Assured Life Reinsurance Ltd. (Assured Life Re), partially offset by dividends.

Financial Guaranty Segment

The Financial Guaranty segment primarily consists of (i) the Company’s financial guaranty insurance subsidiaries that provide credit protection products to the United States (U.S.) and non-U.S. public finance (including infrastructure) and structured finance markets, excluding the effect of variable interest entity (VIE) consolidations, and (ii) Assured Guaranty Inc.’s investment subsidiary, AG Asset Strategies LLC.

Financial Guaranty Segment New Business Production

Financial Guaranty Segment

New Business Production

	Quarter Ended September 30,
	2026			2025
	GWP	PVP	Gross Par Written	GWP	PVP	Gross Par Written
Public finance - U.S.	$87	$93	$5,566	$77	$78	$7,851
Public finance - non-U.S.	21	20	284	(13)	5	243
Structured finance - U.S.	13	9	646	2	-	42
Structured finance - non-U.S.	6	6	1,045	9	8	1,005
Total	$127	$128	$7,541	$75	$91	$9,141

(1) PVP, a non-GAAP financial measure, measures the value of the Financial Guaranty segment’s new business production for all contracts regardless of form or GAAP accounting model. See “Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” at the end of this press release. PVP is based on “close date,” when the transaction settles. PVP was discounted at 4.5% and 5.0% in third quarter 2026 and in the three-month period ended September 30, 2025 (third quarter 2025), respectively.

(2) Gross Par Written is based on “close date,” when the transaction settles.

U.S. public finance GWP and PVP include transactions closed in both the primary and secondary markets. U.S. public finance GWP and PVP in third quarter 2026 increased compared with third quarter 2025 by $10 million and $15 million, respectively. Significant contributors to U.S. public finance results this quarter included infrastructure finance, transportation revenue and municipal utility revenue transactions.

Non-U.S. public finance GWP and PVP in third quarter 2026 increased compared with third quarter 2025, by $34 million and $15 million, respectively, and were primarily attributable to an infrastructure finance transaction in France and a regulated energy transaction in Spain. GWP for non-U.S. public finance in third quarter 2025 was negative due to the early repayment of several U.K. sub-sovereign credits, which had no impact on third quarter 2025 PVP.

Global (U.S. and non-U.S.) structured finance GWP and PVP in third quarter 2026 increased compared with third quarter 2025, and results were primarily attributable to fund finance transactions, a commercial real estate balloon note guaranty transaction and a non-U.S. consumer receivables auto lending facility transaction.

Financial Guaranty Segment Adjusted Operating Income

Financial Guaranty segment adjusted operating income decreased to $115 million in third quarter 2026 from $145 million in third quarter 2025 primarily due to a $1 million loss expense in third quarter 2026 compared with a $31 million benefit in third quarter 2025, fair value losses on trading securities of $2 million in third quarter 2026 compared with $8 million of gains in third quarter 2025, and the decrease of $7 million in equity in earnings of investees in third quarter 2026 compared with third quarter 2025, partially offset by the increase of $16 million in net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues in third quarter 2026.

Financial Guaranty Segment Results

	Quarter Ended
	September 30,
	2026	2025
Segment revenues
Net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues	$115	$99
Net investment income	93	94
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement	-	(1)
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities	(2)	8
Other income (loss)	1	6
Total segment revenues	207	206
Segment expenses
Loss expense (benefit)	1	(31)
Amortization of deferred acquisition costs (DAC)	3	6
Employee compensation and benefit expenses	43	44
Other operating expenses	31	32
Total segment expenses	78	51
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees	9	16
Segment adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes	138	171
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes	23	26
Segment adjusted operating income (loss)	$115	$145

The components of the Financial Guaranty segment’s premiums, losses and income from the investment portfolio are presented below.

Financial Guaranty Segment Net Earned Premiums and Credit Derivative Revenues

Financial Guaranty Segment

Net Earned Premiums and Credit Derivative Revenues

	Quarter Ended
	September 30,
	2026	2025
Scheduled net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues	$97	$93
Accelerations and modifications	18	6
Total	$115	$99

Scheduled net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues increased to $97 million in third quarter 2026 from $93 million in third quarter 2025 primarily due to continued growth in shorter duration strategies like fund finance, as well as higher scheduled public finance net earned premiums.

Financial Guaranty Segment Loss Expense (Benefit) and the Roll Forward of Expected Losses

Loss expense is a function of net economic loss development (benefit) and deferred premium revenue. The difference between loss expense and economic development in a given period represents the amount of deferred premium revenue absorbing expected losses to be paid.

Financial Guaranty Segment

Loss Expense (Benefit)

	Quarter Ended
	September 30,
	2026	2025
Public finance	$1	$(7)
U.S. Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (RMBS)	(1)	(26)
Other structured finance	1	2
Total	$1	$(31)

Loss expense attributable to U.S. RMBS was a benefit of $1 million in third quarter 2026 compared with a benefit of $26 million in third quarter 2025 primarily due to updates of recoveries for charged-off second lien loans in third quarter 2025.

The table below presents the roll forward of net expected losses for third quarter 2026.

Roll Forward of Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered)

	Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered) as of June 30, 2026	Net Economic Loss Development (Benefit)	Net (Paid) Recovered Losses	Net Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered) as of September 30, 2026
Public finance	$174	$(23)	$(60)	$91
U.S. RMBS	(40)	(4)	8	(36)
Other structured finance	58	-	-	58
Total	$192	$(27)	$(52)	$113

(1) Net economic loss development (benefit) represents the change in net expected loss to be paid (recovered) attributable to the effects of changes in the economic performance of insured transactions, changes in assumptions based on observed market trends, changes in discount rates, accretion of discount and the economic effects of loss mitigation efforts, each net of reinsurance. Net economic loss development (benefit) is the principal measure that the Company uses to evaluate the loss experience in its insured portfolio. Expected loss to be paid (recovered) includes all transactions insured by the Company, regardless of the accounting model prescribed under GAAP and without consideration of deferred premium revenue.

Net economic benefit in third quarter 2026 was primarily attributable to additional liquidity available to Brightline Trains Florida LLC (Brightline), as a result of its recent proposed restructuring. The Company insures 51% of Brightline’s senior revenue bonds, which are secured by a senior lien on Brightline’s assets.

Financial Guaranty Segment Income from the Investment Portfolio

Financial Guaranty Segment

Income from the Investment Portfolio

	Quarter Ended
	September 30,
	2026	2025
Net investment income	$93	$94
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities	(2)	8
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees	9	16
Total	$100	$118

(1) Equity in earnings (losses) of investees primarily relates to funds managed by Sound Point Capital Management, LP and certain of its investment management subsidiaries (Sound Point) and Assured Healthcare Partners, LLC. Investments in funds are reported on a one-quarter lag.

Net investment income represents interest income on available-for-sale fixed-maturity securities and short-term investments, which had an overall pre-tax book yield of 5.00% as of September 30, 2026 and 4.80% as of September 30, 2025.

Equity in earnings (losses) of investees was a gain of $9 million in third quarter 2026, compared with a gain of $16 million in third quarter 2025. Equity in earnings (losses) of investees may be more volatile than net investment income on available-for-sale fixed-maturity securities and short-term investments, due to mark-to-market changes associated with certain alternative investments.

As of September 30, 2026, the Company had $922 million in alternative investments across a variety of asset classes: $729 million in the Financial Guaranty segment consisting primarily of collateralized loan obligation (CLO) subordinated notes in the available-for-sale fixed-maturity securities portfolio and investments in funds focused on asset classes such as private healthcare investing, asset-based/specialty finance, commercial real estate finance and CLOs. The remaining alternative investments are in the Corporate division. The inception-to-date annualized internal rate of return for all alternative investments was 11.5% as of September 30, 2026.

Annuity Reinsurance Segment

On January 21, 2026, the Company expanded its insurance operations to include annuity reinsurance through the acquisition of Warwick Re Limited, which the Company renamed Assured Life Re. The Annuity Reinsurance segment consists of the results of Assured Life Re and the other subsidiaries acquired as part of that transaction.

Annuity Reinsurance Segment Results

	Quarter Ended
	September 30, 2026
Segment revenues
Net investment income	$10
Fair value gains (losses) on derivatives	5
Other income (loss)	1
Total segment revenues	16
Segment expenses
Benefit expense for annuity reinsurance contracts	10
Employee compensation and benefit expenses	3
Other operating expenses	2
Total segment expenses	15
Segment adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes	1
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes	-
Segment adjusted operating income (loss)	$1

(1) Represents primarily net investment income on assets supporting the U.K. bulk purchase annuities (pension risk transfers, PRT) contract.

(2) Represents the change in the fair value of the embedded derivative in funds withheld, excluding realized and unrealized gains (losses) on the underlying investments of the funds withheld account supporting Assured Life Re’s U.S. multi-year guaranteed annuities (MYGA) contract.

(3) Benefit expense for annuity reinsurance contracts includes $6 million related to PRT benefit expense and $4 million related to MYGA interest expense.

Assured Life Re reinsures a block of PRT business, with reserves of $459 million, supported by a $569 million asset portfolio that consists primarily of U.S. and U.K. corporate and government bonds, including a portfolio of inflation-linked bonds. The asset portfolio also includes derivatives that economically hedge the currency, inflation and interest rate mismatches between the PRT liabilities, which are long-dated inflation-linked obligations denominated in pound sterling, and the investment portfolio, which includes certain U.S. dollar denominated and non-inflation linked securities. See “Reconciliation to GAAP.”

Assured Life Re also reinsures a block of MYGA business with a policyholder account value of $248 million. The MYGA policyholder account balances for annuity reinsurance contracts are supported by assets in a funds withheld arrangement with the cedant and primarily consist of mortgage and other asset-backed securities for which the Company reports a funds withheld receivable of $267 million.

Asset Management Segment

Asset management adjusted operating income was $2 million in third quarter 2026 and $3 million in third quarter 2025. It includes the Company’s ownership interest in Sound Point and the related amortization of intangible assets.

Corporate Division

Corporate Division Results

	Quarter Ended
	September 30,
	2026	2025
Revenues	$2	$3
Expenses
Interest expense	24	24
Employee compensation and benefit expenses	5	6
Other operating expenses	6	8
Total expenses	35	38
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees	1	9
Adjusted operating income (loss) before income taxes	(32)	(26)
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes	(1)	(2)
Adjusted operating income (loss)	$(31)	$(24)

The Corporate division primarily consists of interest expense on the debt of Assured Guaranty US Holdings Inc. and Assured Guaranty Municipal Holdings Inc. as well as expenses attributed to the holding companies’ activities. The Corporate division also includes equity in earnings (losses) of investees related to certain alternative investments.

Reconciliation to GAAP

The following table presents a reconciliation of net income (loss) attributable to AGL to adjusted operating income (loss).

Reconciliation of Net Income (Loss) Attributable to AGL to

Adjusted Operating Income (Loss)

	Quarter Ended
	September 30,
	2026		2025
	Total	Per Diluted Share	Total	Per Diluted Share
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL	$78	$1.75	$105	$2.18
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Realized gains (losses) on investments	(11)	(0.26)	(10)	(0.22)
Non-credit impairment-related fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives	-	(0.01)	1	0.02
Fair value gains (losses) of freestanding derivatives in the Annuity Reinsurance segment	6	0.15	-	-
Realized and unrealized fair value gains (losses) of the embedded derivative in funds withheld	(3)	(0.08)	-	-
Fair value gains (losses) on committed capital securities (CCS)	(2)	(0.04)	8	0.17
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of certain assets and liabilities	(1)	(0.02)	(22)	(0.44)
Total pre-tax adjustments	(11)	(0.26)	(23)	(0.47)
Less tax effect on pre-tax adjustments	3	0.07	4	0.08
Adjusted operating income (loss)	$86	$1.94	$124	$2.57
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in adjusted operating income	$(1)	$(0.01)	$ -	$ -

(1) The effect of consolidating financial guaranty (FG) VIEs and consolidated investment vehicles (CIVs).

Realized losses on investments were primarily due to credit losses on CLO subordinated notes and corporate securities in third quarter 2026 and CLO subordinated notes in third quarter 2025.

Except for credit impairment, the fair value adjustments on credit derivatives in the insured portfolio are non-economic adjustments that reverse to zero over the remaining term of that portfolio.

The Company purchases swaps and forwards to economically hedge foreign currency, interest rate and inflation risks in the annuity reinsurance business. These derivatives are freestanding and not in designated hedging relationships in accordance with GAAP.

The funds withheld arrangement includes the Company’s right to receive the total return on the assets supporting the funds withheld coinsurance agreement, which represents an embedded derivative. The fair value of this embedded derivative is included in funds withheld on the condensed consolidated balance sheets and the change in its fair value is based on the fair value of the underlying assets. The changes in fair value of the embedded derivative in funds withheld related to realized and unrealized gains and losses of the underlying investment portfolio are not included in adjusted operating income.

Fair value of CCS is heavily affected by, and in part fluctuates with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and is not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

Foreign exchange gains (losses) primarily relate to remeasurement of certain assets and liabilities such as premiums receivables and insurance liabilities that are long term in nature and are mainly due to changes in exchange rates relative to the U.S. dollar of the pound sterling and, to a lesser extent, the euro.

Common Share Repurchases

Since the launch of its share repurchase program in 2013, the Company has returned $6 billion of capital to shareholders, having repurchased 81% of its common shares outstanding at the beginning of the program.

Summary of Share Repurchases

	Amount	Number of Shares	Average Price Per Share
2026 (January 1 - March 31)	$75	0.882	$85.58
2026 (April 1 - June 30)	45	0.554	80.68
2026 (July 1 - September 30)	10	0.123	83.78
2026 (October 1 - November 4)	-	-	-
Total 2026	$130	1.559	83.70

(1) Excludes commissions.

As of November 4, 2026, the Company was authorized to repurchase an additional $121 million of its common shares.

As part of its overall capital management strategy, the Company evaluates on a quarterly basis planned uses of available capital, which may include growth opportunities in its financial guaranty insurance and annuity reinsurance businesses, maintaining a capital cushion to support its existing business and share repurchases.

The timing, form and amount of any future share repurchases will be determined at the Company’s discretion and will depend on various factors, including alternative uses for capital, the Company’s regulatory capital position, rating agency capital considerations, availability of cash at the parent company, market conditions and legal and regulatory requirements. Any such share repurchases may be made from time to time through open-market purchases or privately negotiated transactions, and there can be no assurance of the amount of share repurchases that will occur in the future.

Financial Statements

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations (unaudited)

	Quarter Ended
	September 30,
	2026	2025
Revenues
Net earned premiums	$112	$94
Net investment income	103	94
Net realized investment gains (losses)	(11)	(10)
Fair value gains (losses) on derivatives	10	5
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS	(2)	8
Gains (losses) on FG VIEs	3	3
Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs	-	17
Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement	(1)	(23)
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities	(2)	8
Asset management revenues	-	6
Other income (loss)	2	5
Total revenues	214	207
Expenses
Loss and LAE (benefit)	2	(30)
Benefit expense for annuity reinsurance contracts	10	-
Interest expense	22	22
Amortization of DAC	3	6
Employee compensation and benefit expenses	51	50
Asset management expenses	-	4
Other operating expenses	39	40
Total expenses	127	92
Income (loss) before income taxes and equity in earnings (losses) of investees	87	115
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees	12	20
Income (loss) before income taxes	99	135
Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes	19	21
Net income (loss)	80	114
Less: Noncontrolling interest	2	9
Net income (loss) attributable to AGL	$78	$105

Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets (unaudited)

	As of
	September 30, 2026	December 31, 2025
Assets
Investments:
Fixed-maturity securities available-for-sale, at fair value	$6,506	$6,369
Fixed-maturity securities, trading, at fair value	85	124
Short-term investments, at fair value	950	903
Other invested assets	1,251	1,091
Total investments	8,792	8,487
Cash	227	388
Premiums receivable, net of commissions payable	1,542	1,572
Funds withheld, at fair value	267	-
DAC	209	192
Salvage and subrogation recoverable	454	449
FG VIEs’ assets	192	212
Assets of CIVs	-	175
Other assets	752	701
Total assets	$12,435	$12,176
Liabilities
Unearned premium reserve	$3,626	$3,625
Loss and LAE reserve	280	309
Future policy benefits for annuity reinsurance contracts	459	-
Policyholder account balances for annuity reinsurance contracts	248	-
Long-term debt	1,707	1,704
FG VIEs’ liabilities	179	198
Other liabilities	508	551
Total liabilities	7,007	6,387
Shareholders’ equity
Common shares	-	-
Retained earnings	5,868	5,830
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)	(466)	(168)
Deferred equity compensation	1	1
Total shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL	5,403	5,663
Non-redeemable noncontrolling interest	25	126
Total shareholders’ equity	5,428	5,789
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity	$12,435	$12,176

Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

The Company discloses both: (i) financial measures determined in accordance with GAAP; and (ii) financial measures not determined in accordance with GAAP (non-GAAP financial measures). Financial measures identified as non-GAAP should not be considered substitutes for GAAP financial measures. The primary limitation of non-GAAP financial measures is the potential lack of comparability to financial measures of other companies, whose definitions of non-GAAP financial measures may differ from those of the Company.

The Company’s management believes that many investors, analysts and financial news reporters use adjusted operating shareholders’ equity and/or ABV, each further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation, as the principal financial measures for valuing AGL’s current share price or projected share price and also as the basis of their decision to recommend, buy or sell AGL’s common shares and provides information that is necessary for analysts to calculate their estimates of Assured Guaranty’s financial results in their research reports on Assured Guaranty.

Adjusted operating income, further adjusted for the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation, enables investors and analysts to evaluate the Company’s financial results in comparison with the consensus analyst estimates distributed publicly by financial databases.

GAAP requires the Company to consolidate entities where it is deemed to be the primary beneficiary which include FG VIEs, which the Company does not own and where its exposure is limited to its obligation under the financial guaranty insurance contract, and certain CIVs in which subsidiaries invest.

The Company discloses the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation that is embedded in each non-GAAP financial measure, as applicable. The Company believes this information may also be useful to analysts and investors evaluating Assured Guaranty’s financial results. In the case of both the consolidated FG VIEs and the CIVs, the economic effect on the Company of each of the consolidated FG VIEs and CIVs is reflected primarily in the results of the Financial Guaranty segment.

The Company’s management and AGL’s Board of Directors use non-GAAP financial measures further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation when the consolidation effects are not consistent with the Company’s economic interest or exposure to those entities (which the Company refers to as its core financial measures), as well as GAAP financial measures and other factors, to evaluate the Company’s results of operations, financial condition and progress towards long-term goals. The Company uses core financial measures in its decision-making process and as a basis for establishing target levels and awards under the Company’s executive incentive compensation programs. The financial measures that the Company uses to help determine compensation are: (i) adjusted operating income per share, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation (core operating income per share); (ii) adjusted operating shareholders’ equity per share, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation (core operating shareholders’ equity per share); (iii) ABV per share, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation (core ABV per share); (iv) core operating return on equity, which is calculated as core operating income divided by the average of core operating shareholders’ equity at the beginning and end of the period; and (v) PVP.

The following paragraphs define each non-GAAP financial measure disclosed by the Company and describe why it is useful. To the extent there is a directly comparable GAAP financial measure, a reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure and the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure is presented below.

Adjusted Operating Income

The Company’s management believes that adjusted operating income is a useful measure because it clarifies the understanding of the operating results of the Company and excludes certain items including (i) items that, under GAAP, may vary significantly from period to period due to near-term market conditions or are otherwise not directly comparable or reflective of the underlying performance of the Company’s business, (ii) items that, under GAAP, result in asymmetrical accounting adjustments, and/or (iii) non-economic gains and losses. Adjusted operating income is defined as net income (loss) attributable to AGL, as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

1) Elimination of realized gains (losses) on investments that are recognized in net income (loss) attributable to AGL, except for gains and losses on securities classified as trading. The timing of realized gains and losses, which depends largely on market credit cycles, can vary considerably across periods. The timing of sales is largely subject to the Company’s discretion and influenced by market opportunities, as well as the Company’s tax and capital profile.

2) Elimination of non-credit impairment-related fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives that are recognized in net income (loss) attributable to AGL, which is the amount of fair value gains (losses) in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, the Company’s credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

3) Elimination of changes in fair value of freestanding derivatives in the Annuity Reinsurance segment that economically hedge market movements in financial instruments and insurance liabilities (but are not in designated hedging relationships in accordance with GAAP). Certain mark-to-market movements of the hedged market risks are not reported in net income (loss) attributable to AGL, such as changes in the unrealized gains and losses on the available-for-sale investment portfolio due to fluctuations in exchange rates and interest rates, and certain components of changes in insurance liabilities as a result of changes in interest rates.

4) Elimination of the changes in fair value of the embedded derivative in funds withheld that are recognized in net income (loss) attributable to AGL related to realized and unrealized gains (losses) of the underlying investment portfolio, whose value may change significantly from period to period due to near term market conditions.

5) Elimination of fair value gains (losses) on CCS that are recognized in net income (loss) attributable to AGL. Such amounts are affected by changes in market interest rates, the Company’s credit spreads, price indications on the Company’s publicly traded debt and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

6) Elimination of foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement of assets and liabilities such as net premium receivables and insurance liabilities that are long-term in nature that are recognized in net income (loss) attributable to AGL. Long-dated receivables and insurance reserves represent the present value of future contractual or expected cash flows. Therefore, the current period’s foreign exchange remeasurement gains (losses) are not necessarily indicative of the total foreign exchange gains (losses) that the Company will ultimately recognize.

7) Income tax allocated to the adjustments above.

Adjusted operating income per share is calculated by dividing adjusted operating income by the weighted average diluted shares. The method for calculating weighted average diluted shares is in accordance with GAAP. See “Reconciliation to GAAP” above for a reconciliation of net income (loss) attributable to AGL to adjusted operating income (loss).

Adjusted Operating Shareholders’ Equity and ABV

The Company’s management believes that adjusted operating shareholders’ equity is a useful measure because it excludes the fair value adjustments that are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss. The Company’s management uses ABV, further adjusted to remove the effect of FG VIE and CIV consolidation, to measure the intrinsic value of the Company, excluding franchise value. The Company’s management believes that ABV is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the Company’s in-force premiums and revenues net of expected losses.

Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity per share and ABV per share, each further adjusted for FG VIE and CIV consolidation (core operating shareholders’ equity per share and core ABV per share, respectively), are two of the key financial measures used in determining the amount of certain long-term compensation elements to management and employees and used by rating agencies and investors.

Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity is defined as shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL, as reported under GAAP, adjusted for the following:

1) Elimination of non-credit impairment-related fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives that are reported on the consolidated balance sheet, which is the amount of fair value gains (losses) in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit losses. Such fair value adjustments are heavily affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market interest rates, credit spreads and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

2) Elimination of fair value gains (losses) on CCS that are reported on the consolidated balance sheet. Such amounts are affected by changes in market interest rates, the Company’s credit spreads, price indications on the Company’s publicly traded debt and other market factors and are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss.

3) Elimination of unrealized gains (losses) on investments that are recorded as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI). The AOCI component of the fair value adjustment on the investment portfolio is not deemed economic because the Company generally holds these investments to maturity and therefore would not result in an economic gain or loss.

4) Elimination of the fair value of freestanding derivatives in the Annuity Reinsurance segment that economically hedge market movements in financial instruments and insurance liabilities (but are not in designated hedging relationships in accordance with GAAP), such as changes in fair value on derivatives that hedge fluctuations in foreign exchange, interest rates and inflation on Assured Life Re’s available-for-sale investment portfolio.

5) Elimination of the unrealized gains (losses) of the underlying investments in funds withheld arrangements.

6) Income tax allocated to the adjustments above.

ABV is adjusted operating shareholders’ equity, as defined above, further adjusted for the following:

1) Elimination of deferred acquisition costs, net. These amounts represent net deferred expenses that have already been paid or accrued and will be expensed in future accounting periods.

2) Addition of the net present value of estimated net future revenue. See below.

3) Addition of deferred income on insurance contracts (including deferred profit liability and, in the case of financial guaranty insurance contracts, the amount of deferred premium revenue in excess of expected loss to be expensed, net of reinsurance).

4) Income tax allocated to the adjustments above.

Shares outstanding as of the end of the reporting period are used to calculate adjusted operating shareholders’ equity per share and ABV per share.

The unearned premiums and revenues included in ABV will be earned in future periods, but actual earnings may differ materially from the estimated amounts used in determining current ABV due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, modifications, credit defaults, changes in assumptions for or actual experience of the annuity insurance business and other factors.

Reconciliation of Shareholders’ Equity Attributable to AGL to

Adjusted Operating Shareholders’ Equity and ABV

	As of
	September 30, 2026		December 31, 2025
	Total	Per Share	Total	Per Share
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL	$5,403	$122.91	$5,663	$125.32
Less pre-tax adjustments:
Non-credit impairment-related fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives	52	1.18	55	1.21
Fair value gains (losses) on CCS	18	0.42	22	0.48
Unrealized gains (losses) on investment portfolio	(548)	(12.47)	(149)	(3.28)
Fair value gains (losses) of freestanding derivatives in the Annuity Reinsurance segment	1	0.03	-	-
Fair value gains (losses) of the embedded derivative in funds withheld	(5)	(0.11)	-	-
Less taxes	83	1.87	6	0.13
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity	5,802	131.99	5,729	126.78
Pre-tax adjustments:
Less: DAC	209	4.75	192	4.25
Plus: Net present value of estimated net future revenue	184	4.19	194	4.30
Plus: Net deferred revenues on insurance contracts	3,354	76.30	3,367	74.51
Plus taxes	(665)	(15.13)	(674)	(14.91)
ABV	$8,466	$192.60	$8,424	$186.43
Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in:
Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity	$(7)	$(0.16)	$8	$0.18
ABV	(11)	(0.25)	3	0.07
Shares outstanding at the end of the period	44.0		45.2

Net Present Value of Estimated Net Future Revenue

The Company’s management believes that this amount is a useful measure because it enables an evaluation of the present value of estimated net future revenue for non-financial guaranty insurance contracts. This amount represents the net present value of estimated future revenue from these contracts (other than credit derivatives with net expected losses), net of reinsurance, ceding commissions and premium taxes.

Mitigation Securities. The discount rate is recalculated annually and updated as necessary. Net present value of estimated future revenue for an obligation may change from period to period due to a change in the discount rate or due to a change in estimated net future revenue for the obligation, which may change due to changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, credit defaults or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation. There is no corresponding GAAP financial measure.

PVP or Present Value of New Business Production

The Company’s management believes that PVP is a useful measure because it enables the evaluation of the value of new business production in the Financial Guaranty segment by taking into account the value of estimated future installment premiums on all new contracts underwritten in a reporting period as well as additional installment premiums and fees on existing contracts (which may result from supplements or fees or from the issuer not calling an insured obligation the Company projected would be called), regardless of form, which management believes GAAP GWP and changes in fair value of credit derivatives do not adequately measure. PVP in respect of contracts written in a specified period is defined as gross upfront and installment premiums received and the present value of gross estimated future installment premiums.

Future installment premiums are discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturity securities such as Loss Mitigation Securities. The discount rate is recalculated annually and updated as necessary. Under GAAP, financial guaranty installment premiums are discounted at a risk-free rate. Additionally, under GAAP, management records future installment premiums on financial guaranty insurance contracts covering non-homogeneous pools of assets based on the contractual term of the transaction, whereas for PVP purposes, management records an estimate of the future installment premiums the Company expects to receive, which may be based upon a shorter period of time than the contractual term of the transaction.

Actual installment premiums may differ from those estimated in the Company’s PVP calculation due to factors including, but not limited to, changes in foreign exchange rates, prepayment speeds, terminations, amendments to policies, credit defaults or other factors that affect par outstanding or the ultimate maturity of an obligation.

Reconciliation of GWP to PVP

	Quarter Ended
	September 30, 2026
	Public Finance		Structured Finance
	U.S.	Non - U.S.	U.S.	Non - U.S.	Total
GWP	$87	$21	$13	$6	$127
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments	37	21	7	6	71
Upfront GWP	50	-	6	-	56
Plus: Installment premiums and other	43	20	3	6	72
PVP	$93	$20	$9	$6	$128

	Quarter Ended
	September 30, 2025
	Public Finance		Structured Finance
	U.S.	Non - U.S.	U.S.	Non - U.S.	Total
GWP	$77	$(13)	$2	$9	$75
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments	32	(13)	1	9	29
Upfront GWP	45	-	1	-	46
Plus: Installment premiums and other	33	5	(1)	8	45
PVP	$78	$5	$ -	$8	$91

	Nine Months Ended
	September 30, 2026
	Public Finance		Structured Finance
	U.S.	Non - U.S.	U.S.	Non - U.S.	Total
GWP	$189	$37	$30	$22	$278
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments	57	37	24	22	140
Upfront GWP	132	-	6	-	138
Plus: Installment premiums and other	67	31	19	25	142
PVP	$199	$31	$25	$25	$280

	Nine Months Ended
	September 30, 2025
	Public Finance		Structured Finance
	U.S.	Non - U.S.	U.S.	Non - U.S.	Total
GWP	$175	$(6)	$8	$18	$195
Less: Installment GWP and other GAAP adjustments	64	(6)	7	18	83
Upfront GWP	111	-	1	-	112
Plus: Installment premiums and other	41	19	2	20	82
PVP	$152	$19	$3	$20	$194

(1) Includes the present value of new business on installment policies discounted at the prescribed GAAP discount rates, and GWP adjustments on existing installment policies due to changes in assumptions and other GAAP adjustments.

(2) Includes the present value of future premiums and fees on new business paid in installments discounted at the approximate average pre-tax book yield of fixed-maturity securities purchased during the prior calendar year, other than certain fixed-maturity securities such as Loss Mitigation Securities.

Conference Call and Webcast Information

The Company will host a conference call for investors at 8:00 a.m. Eastern Time (9:00 a.m. Atlantic Time) on Friday, November 6, 2026. The conference call will be available via live webcast in the Investor Information section of the Company’s website at AssuredGuaranty.com or by dialing 1-833-461-5787 (in the U.S.) or 1-585-542-9983 (International); the access code is 508061114.

A webcast replay of the conference call will be available approximately three hours after the call ends. The webcast replay will be available for one year in the Investor Information section of the Company’s website at AssuredGuaranty.com.

Please refer to Assured Guaranty’s September 30, 2026 Financial Supplement, which is posted on the Company’s website at assuredguaranty.com/agldata, for more information on the Company’s financial guaranty portfolio, investment portfolio and other items. In addition, the Company is posting at assuredguaranty.com/presentations its “September 30, 2026 Equity Investor Presentation.”

The Company plans to post by early next week on its website at assuredguaranty.com/agldata the following:

“Public Finance Transactions in 3Q 2026,” which lists the U.S. public finance new issues insured by the Company in third quarter 2026, and
“Structured Finance Transactions at September 30, 2026,” which lists the Company’s structured finance exposure as of that date.

In addition, the Company will post on its website, when available, Assured Guaranty Inc.’s financial supplement and its “Fixed Income Presentation” for the current quarter. Those documents will be furnished to the Securities and Exchange Commission in a Current Report on Form 8-K.

Assured Guaranty Ltd. is a publicly traded (NYSE: AGO), Bermuda-based holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Assured Guaranty provides credit enhancement products to the U.S. and non-U.S. public finance, infrastructure and structured finance markets. Assured Guaranty also participates in the asset management business through its ownership interest in Sound Point Capital Management, LP and certain of its investment management affiliates, and in the annuity reinsurance business through Assured Life Reinsurance Ltd. More information on Assured Guaranty Ltd. and its subsidiaries can be found at AssuredGuaranty.com.

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

Any forward-looking statements made in this press release reflect the Company’s current views with respect to future events and financial performance and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in these statements. Among factors that could cause actual results to differ materially are:

(i) significant changes in inflation, interest rates, the world’s credit markets or segments thereof, credit spreads, foreign exchange rates, tariff regimes or general economic conditions, including the possibility of a recession or stagflation; (ii) geopolitical risk, terrorism and political violence risk, including regional and global military conflicts, and strategic competition and trade confrontation; (iii) cybersecurity risk and the impacts of artificial intelligence, machine learning and other technological advances, including the possibility of malicious cyber attacks, dissemination of misinformation, and disruption of markets in which Assured Guaranty participates; (iv) the impact of a United States (U.S.) government shutdown and/or the possibility of payment defaults on the debt of the U.S. government or instruments issued, insured or guaranteed by related institutions, agencies or instrumentalities, and downgrades to their credit ratings; (v) developments in the world’s financial and capital markets, including stresses in banking institutions, and the possibility that increasing participation of unregulated financial institutions in these markets results in losses or lower valuations of assets, reduced liquidity and credit and/or contraction of these markets, that adversely affect repayment rates of insured obligors, Assured Guaranty’s insurance loss or recovery experience, or investments of Assured Guaranty; (vi) reduction in the amount or market rates of return of available insurance or reinsurance opportunities and/or the demand for Assured Guaranty’s insurance and reinsurance; (vii) the failure or ineffectiveness of Assured Guaranty’s risk mitigation strategies or activities, including distressed credit workouts, restructuring arrangements, management of exposure limits, hedging activities, and the procurement of third-party reinsurance for insured exposures; (viii) any rating agency action in relation to Assured Guaranty, and/or of any securities Assured Guaranty has issued, and/or of transactions that Assured Guaranty has insured, including requirements to maintain rating agency capital redundancy and to hold additional capital against certain insured exposures; (ix) the possibility that investments made by Assured Guaranty for its investment portfolio do not result in the benefits anticipated or subject Assured Guaranty to negative consequences; (x) the possibility that Assured Guaranty’s strategies or strategic transactions do not result in the benefits anticipated and/or subject Assured Guaranty to negative consequences; (xi) the impact of the announcement of Assured Guaranty’s strategies on Assured Guaranty and the perception of Assured Guaranty by its investors, regulators, rating agencies, and employees; (xii) loss of key personnel; (xiii) risks related to the expansion into annuity reinsurance and the launching of Assured Life Reinsurance Ltd.; (xiv) the failure of Assured Guaranty to successfully integrate acquired businesses, including Assured Guaranty’s acquisition of Warwick Company (UK) Limited; (xv) the possibility that longevity, mortality, lapse, withdrawal or surrender experience in Assured Guaranty’s annuity reinsurance business is less favorable than the rates Assured Guaranty used in pricing its reinsurance agreements; (xvi) the inability to control the business, management or policies of entities in which Assured Guaranty holds a noncontrolling interest; (xvii) the impact of market volatility on the fair value of Assured Guaranty’s assets and liabilities subject to mark-to-market, including certain of its investments, contracts accounted for as derivatives, its committed capital securities, and its consolidated variable interest entities; (xviii) the possibility that budget or pension shortfalls, difficulties in obtaining additional financing, changes in applicable laws or regulations or other factors will result in credit losses or liquidity claims on obligations that Assured Guaranty insures or reinsures; (xix) insured losses, including losses with respect to related legal proceedings, in excess of those expected by Assured Guaranty or the failure of Assured Guaranty to realize loss recoveries that are assumed in its expected loss estimates for insurance exposures; (xx) the possibility that underwriting insurance in new jurisdictions and/or covering new sectors, lines or classes of business does not result in the benefits anticipated or subjects Assured Guaranty to negative consequences; (xxi) increased competition, including from new market entrants and alternative forms of credit protection; (xxii) the inability of Assured Guaranty to access capital on acceptable terms or have sufficient liquidity to cover unexpected stress; (xxiii) noncompliance with, and/or changes in, applicable laws or regulations, including insurance, bankruptcy and tax laws, tariffs, or other governmental actions; (xxiv) the possibility that legal or regulatory decisions or determinations subject Assured Guaranty or obligations that it insures or reinsures to negative consequences; (xxv) difficulties or delays with the execution of Assured Guaranty’s business strategy; (xxvi) changes in applicable accounting policies or practices; (xxvii) public health crises, including pandemics and endemics, and the governmental and private actions taken in response to such events; (xxviii) natural or man-made catastrophes; (xxix) the impact of climate change on Assured Guaranty’s business and regulatory actions taken related to such risk; (xxx) other risk factors identified in AGL’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission; (xxxi) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time; and (xxxii) management’s response to these factors.

Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are made as of November 5, 2026, and Assured Guaranty undertakes no obligation to update or review any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise, except as required by law.

Contact Information

Robert Tucker

Senior Managing Director, Investor Relations and Corporate Communications

212-339-0861 rtucker@agltd.com

Ashweeta Durani

Director, Media Relations

212-408-6042 adurani@agltd.com