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American Financial Group Inc.: Q1 FY2026 earnings call

What management said about Q1 FY2026, from the documents filed with the SEC on 30 April 2026: press release. Guidance figures: 1 new, 1 kept. The quarter’s numbers.

Key takeaways

  • Net earnings $2.29 per share: Net earnings were $191 million, or $2.29 per share, against $154 million ($1.84) a year earlier. The result included a $0.18 per share loss from non-core items. Source
  • Core earnings up 36% year over year: Core net operating earnings were $206 million, or $2.47 per share, against $152 million ($1.81). Core ROE was 17.0%, against 13.1%. Higher P&C underwriting profit was partly offset by lower alternative investment returns. Source
  • Underwriting profit up 66%: Specialty P&C underwriting profit was $156 million against $94 million, up 66%. Each of the three Specialty P&C groups reported higher underwriting profit than a year earlier. Source
  • Specialty combined ratio improved 3.7 points: The Specialty combined ratio was 90.3%, against 94.0%. The loss and LAE ratio fell to 56.3% from 61.0%, while the underwriting expense ratio rose to 34.0% from 33.0%. Source
  • Written premiums up 6% gross, 3% net: Gross written premiums were $2,435 million, up 6%, and net written premiums were $1,664 million, up 3%. Source
  • Favorable prior-year reserve development: Prior year reserve development added 4.4 points to the Specialty combined ratio, against 1.3 points a year earlier. Total reserve development was $70 million favorable, against $20 million. Source
  • Alternative return negative this quarter: The annualized return on alternative investments was (0.4%), against 1.8% a year earlier. Including alternatives, P&C net investment income was about 1% lower year over year. Source
  • About $259 million returned in quarter: Capital returned to shareholders was about $259 million, including $125 million of special dividends and $60 million of share repurchases. Source

“We are pleased to report a core net operating ROE of 17% in the first quarter.”

S. Craig Lindner and Carl H. Lindner III, AFG’s Co-Chief Executive Officers

Guidance

AreaPeriodFigureAgainst last quarter
Gain on sale of Charleston Harbor Resort & Marina Source2026approximately $125 million pretax core operating gainNew
Alternative investment returns Sourcelong term, annual averageaveraging 10% or betterKept

What changed from last quarter

  • New: Definitive agreements were reached in April 2026 to sell Charleston Harbor Resort & Marina. Source

Earnings and core results

  • Net earnings $2.29 per share: Net earnings were $191 million, or $2.29 per share, against $154 million ($1.84) a year earlier. The result included a $0.18 per share loss from non-core items. Source
  • Core earnings up 36% year over year: Core net operating earnings were $206 million, or $2.47 per share, against $152 million ($1.81). Core ROE was 17.0%, against 13.1%. Higher P&C underwriting profit was partly offset by lower alternative investment returns. Source
  • Realized losses excluded from core: After-tax realized losses on securities were $15 million. Of that, $13 million came from fair value adjustments to equity securities still held at March 31, 2026. Source

Specialty P&C underwriting by group

  • Underwriting profit up 66%: Specialty P&C underwriting profit was $156 million against $94 million, up 66%. Each of the three Specialty P&C groups reported higher underwriting profit than a year earlier. Source
  • Specialty combined ratio improved 3.7 points: The Specialty combined ratio was 90.3%, against 94.0%. The loss and LAE ratio fell to 56.3% from 61.0%, while the underwriting expense ratio rose to 34.0% from 33.0%. Source
  • Property and Transportation profit higher: The group's combined ratio was 87.6%, against 92.5%. Underwriting profit was $65 million against $37 million, led by agricultural and transportation businesses, with catastrophe losses of $12 million against $10 million. Source
  • Specialty Casualty profit higher: Underwriting profit was $34 million against $20 million, with a combined ratio of 95.8% against 97.6%. Targeted markets, workers' compensation, and executive and professional liability drove the improvement. Source
  • Specialty Financial combined ratio 80.0%: Underwriting profit was $57 million against $37 million, with a combined ratio of 80.0% against 87.0%. Fidelity/crime and financial institutions drove the improvement, and catastrophe losses were $12 million against $35 million. Source

“and are confident about the strength of our reserves.”

Carl Lindner III

Premium growth and renewal pricing

  • Written premiums up 6% gross, 3% net: Gross written premiums were $2,435 million, up 6%, and net written premiums were $1,664 million, up 3%. Source
  • Crop insurance drove Property growth: Property and Transportation gross premiums rose 11% and net premiums rose 6%. The increase was mainly from crop insurance products with higher premium cessions, plus new business, higher exposures and rates. Source
  • Renewal pricing up about 5%: Renewal pricing excluding workers' compensation rose about 5%, in line with the prior quarter. Including workers' compensation, pricing rose about 3%. Source

Reserves and catastrophe losses

  • Favorable prior-year reserve development: Prior year reserve development added 4.4 points to the Specialty combined ratio, against 1.3 points a year earlier. Total reserve development was $70 million favorable, against $20 million. Source
  • Catastrophe losses fell to 2.2 points: Catastrophe losses were 2.2 points of the Specialty combined ratio, against 4.5 points a year earlier. Source
  • Property and Transportation reserve release: Property and Transportation recorded $47 million of favorable development this quarter, against $19 million a year earlier. Specialty Casualty recorded none, against $12 million adverse. Source

“AFG continued to have significant excess capital at March 31, 2026.”

S. Craig Lindner and Carl H. Lindner III, AFG’s Co-Chief Executive Officers

Investment income and alternative returns

  • Alternative return negative this quarter: The annualized return on alternative investments was (0.4%), against 1.8% a year earlier. Including alternatives, P&C net investment income was about 1% lower year over year. Source
  • Investment income up 8% before alternatives: Excluding alternatives, P&C net investment income rose 8%, mainly from higher invested asset balances. Source
  • Five-year alternative return about 11%: The average annual return on alternative investments was about 11% over the five calendar years ended December 31, 2025. Source

Capital returns to shareholders

  • About $259 million returned in quarter: Capital returned to shareholders was about $259 million, including $125 million of special dividends and $60 million of share repurchases. Source
  • Repurchases at average $127.12 per share: Repurchases were $60 million at an average of $127.12 per share. Dividends paid were $2.38 per share, including a $1.50 special dividend paid in February. Source
  • Book value plus dividends up 1.6%: Growth in book value per share plus dividends was 1.6% for the quarter. Excluding AOCI, the same measure was 3.1%. Source

Strategy and capital deployment

  • Capital to fund growth and acquisitions: Management said capital will be deployed into core businesses as organic growth potential is identified, and into acquisitions and start-ups that meet target return thresholds. Source
  • Charleston sale not in original plan: The Charleston Harbor transaction was not contemplated in the original business plan assumptions. Closing requires third-party approvals and customary closing conditions. Source
  • Culture and philosophy cited: Management said its entrepreneurial, opportunistic culture and disciplined operating philosophy position it for long-term success. Source

Book value and balance sheet

  • Book value per share $56.30: Book value per share was $56.30 at March 31, 2026, against $57.78 at December 31, 2025. Excluding AOCI, it was $57.83, against $58.38. Source
  • AOCI loss widened: AOCI was a loss of $127 million ($1.53 per share) at March 31, 2026, against a $50 million loss at year-end 2025. After-tax unrealized losses on fixed maturities were $101 million. Source
  • Cash, investments and debt steady: Total cash and investments were $17,143 million, against $17,182 million at year-end. Long-term debt was unchanged at $1,820 million. Source

Coming up, as management said on 30 April 2026

  • Charleston Harbor sale closing: Closing is expected in the second or third quarter of 2026, subject to third-party approvals and customary closing conditions. Source

Figures management reported

FigureReported
Combined ratio SourceSpecialty P&C 90.3% (94.0% prior year); P&C segment 90.4% (94.1%)
Net premiums written Source$1,664 million, up 3%
Prior-year reserve development Source$70 million favorable (4.4 points)
Catastrophe losses Source2.2 points of Specialty combined ratio
Net investment income SourceUp 8% excluding alternative investments
Book value per share Source$56.30

Risks management discussed

  • Financial: Alternative investment earnings vary from quarter to quarter with underlying results and are reported on a quarter lag. Source
  • Demand: Growth in excess and surplus lines was partly offset by heightened competition in that business. Source
  • Operational: Management ceded more coastal-exposed property business in financial institutions from the second quarter of 2025, which tempered net written premiums. Source

Earlier plans management reported on

  • Not stated: Management continues to expect long-term alternative investment returns averaging 10% or better. The release gives no status against that target for this quarter. Source
  • Not stated: Management believes renewal rate increases are enabling it to meet or exceed targeted returns. Source

Other quarters

Summarised with AI from the documents the company filed with the SEC. Every point is checked against the filing before it is shown: management’s own words word for word, figures against the line or table row they come from. A point that fails the check is left out. Source opens the filing at that line.